GLICKMAN, Associate Judge:

Nyia Gore appeals her conviction after a bench trial for the misdemeanor offense of malicious destruction of property. We reverse and remand because the trial court erred in denying appellant's motion to suppress incriminating admissions and physical evidence that police obtained by entering and searching her home without a warrant. The Fourth Amendment protects "[t]he right of the people to be secure in their ... houses ... against unreasonable searches and seizures."1 Recognizing that "the `physical entry of the home is the chief evil against which the wording of the Fourth Amendment is directed,'"2 the Supreme Court in Payton v. New York held that such intrusions are per se unreasonable if the police do not have a search or arrest warrant, unless exigent circumstances justify their failure to secure a warrant. There was no exigency in this case, and we reject the government's argument that the exclusionary rule should not be applied because the police inevitably would have discovered the fruits of their unlawful entry by lawful means.

I.

On January 17, 2015, Metropolitan Police Officers Christian Tobe and Taylor Collins responded to a call for assistance at a Motel 6 located at 6711 Georgia Avenue, Northwest. The caller, Dwayne Ward, met them in the motel parking lot and requested their help in recovering his personal property from appellant, who was residing in a room at the motel with her two children. Mr. Ward told the officers that appellant had refused to let him back into the room to retrieve his possessions. He showed the officers a text message from appellant saying she had "trashed [his] shit."

The officers went to appellant's room, knocked on her door, and identified themselves as police officers. Appellant opened the door but did not come out. The officers remained in the hallway and spoke to appellant across the threshold. The ensuing exchange was recorded by a body camera worn by Officer Tobe. The recording was introduced in evidence at trial.

When appellant opened her door, Officer Tobe greeted her and started to say, "So, uh, I hear you have, uh, some stuff —" when she interrupted him and stated, "I don't have anything. I trashed everything." In response to the officers' subsequent questions, appellant said Mr. Ward's possessions were "not in this building" but in a dumpster and she would not go "dumpster diving" to retrieve them. Appellant became defensive and the colloquy between her and the police grew increasingly heated. About two minutes into the encounter, the officers told appellant she had committed a crime. After some additional back-and-forth, Officer Tobe bluntly told appellant they would arrest her unless they could recover Mr. Ward's property. "Now," he asked her, "does that change your tune any?" Appellant answered, "No it doesn't." Appellant asked whether Mr. Ward was in the hallway, and when the officers indicated he was there, she shouted for him and walked toward the doorway. The officers then entered the room, without appellant's consent, and Officer Tobe handcuffed her. Within fifteen seconds of being handcuffed, appellant finally admitted, "Okay, it's — I'm sorry, but everything is in the tub, and it's — yes, it's destroyed. I tore everything up, I ripped everything up, and I'm sorry. He hurt me."

While Officer Collins remained with appellant, Officer Tobe escorted Mr. Ward into the bathroom to retrieve a trash bag containing his property — a backpack that had been "cut to pieces," papers that had been ripped up, and a radio that had been "smashed." The officers then formally arrested appellant.

Appellant moved to suppress the physical evidence seized from her bathroom and her statements to the police as having been obtained in violation of the Fourth and Fifth Amendments. The motion hearing was incorporated in appellant's bench trial. Officer Tobe testified that in light of appellant's statements and text message, he believed when he and Officer Collins entered appellant's room that they had probable cause to arrest her for destroying or taking Mr. Ward's property without right. Officer Tobe explained that "we came in the apartment to continue questioning her" about what had happened to the property. In view of appellant's agitated state, he also "wanted to prevent her from getting out in the hallway" and having a confrontation there with Mr. Ward. Officer Tobe further testified that if appellant had not told them where Mr. Ward's property was, "we would have probably searched through the trash cans" and "had we not found [the property] in the dumpsters... [w]e could have applied for a search warrant."

In support of her suppression motion, appellant argued that the officers violated her Fourth Amendment rights when, in the absence of exigent circumstances, they entered and searched her home without her consent and without a warrant; and, further, that the officers lacked probable cause to justify their entry. In opposition, the government argued that the officers had probable cause to enter appellant's home and arrest her based on her text message and her initial statement to the police, and also to keep her from coming out of her apartment in her agitated state. The government further argued that the police inevitably would have recovered Mr. Ward's property by lawful means had appellant not revealed its location to them because they would have applied for a warrant to search her room "once they did not find the items in the dumpster."3

Appellant grounded her Fifth Amendment claim on the failure of the officers to give her Miranda warnings before questioning her. The government countered that appellant's statements were spontaneous, voluntary, and not the product of custodial interrogation.

The trial court denied the motion essentially for the reasons that the government advanced. It held that appellant's Fifth Amendment rights were not violated because her statements were spontaneous and not in response to custodial interrogation. In addition, the court held, "once the Defendant's says `I trashed everything, everything is in the tub, I ripped it up,' there's probable cause to arrest her, and the recovery of the items in the bathtub is therefore inevitable, regardless of the fact that there was no consent and no warrant." Thereafter, based on the evidence summarized above,4 the court also denied appellant's motion for judgment of acquittal and found appellant guilty. It concluded that the government had proved beyond a reasonable doubt that appellant had damaged Mr. Ward's property, intentionally and without adequate provocation or excuse, and that the property had some value.

II.

Appellant contends the trial court erred in not suppressing the evidence seized from her room and her statements to police and, in any event, in finding the government's proof sufficient to convict her of malicious destruction of property. We find merit only in appellant's Fourth Amendment claim. Before addressing that claim, we first dispose of appellant's other contentions.

A. Sufficiency of the Evidence

The essential elements of misdemeanor malicious destruction of property under D.C. Code § 22-303 (2016 Supp.) are that: (1) the defendant damaged or destroyed, or attempted to damage or destroy, property; (2) the property belonged to another person5; (3) the property had some value; (4) the defendant acted voluntarily and on purpose, and not by mistake or accident; (5) the defendant acted with the intent to damage or destroy the property or despite knowing that his or her conduct created a substantial risk of harm to the property; and (6) the defendant acted without justification, excuse, or mitigating circumstances.6

"A court must deem the proof of guilt sufficient if, `after viewing the evidence in the light most favorable to the prosecution, any rational trier of fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt.'"7 The evidence at trial included Mr. Ward's testimony as to his ownership of the backpack and its contents, their condition before and after he left them with appellant, and their value; appellant's admissions in her text message to Ward and recorded statements to the police; and photographs depicting the damaged condition of Ward's possessions when they were recovered from appellant's bathroom. Appellant argues that Ward's testimony was "untrustworthy,"8 but, in actuality, it was amply corroborated in all material respects by the rest of the government's evidence; and, in any event, except in unusual circumstances not present here, we cannot second-guess credibility determinations, which are committed to the trier of fact.9 We unhesitatingly conclude that the government's proof surpassed the threshold of sufficiency and readily enabled a rational trier of fact to find, beyond a reasonable doubt, that appellant maliciously destroyed property of value belonging to Mr. Ward, in violation of D.C. Code § 22-303.

B. Appellant's Statements to the Police

Appellant argues that the trial court should have suppressed her statements to Officers Tobe and Collins because the officers did not advise her of her Fifth Amendment rights against self-incrimination before they subjected her to a custodial interrogation, as required by Miranda v. Arizona.10 The government responds that appellant's initial incriminating admissions that she had "trashed" Mr. Ward's property, made before the officers entered her room, were not obtained in violation of Miranda because they were not the product of custodial interrogation. The government further contends that this court "does not need to decide when the non-custodial discussion turned into a custodial one" because "any error in the admission of appellant's subsequent statements [i.e., after the police entered her room] in which she similarly confessed to trashing the property would be harmless beyond a reasonable doubt."11

The Miranda warnings are meant to guard against the "danger of coercion [that] results from the interaction of custody and official interrogation."12 Thus, "[t]he requirements of Miranda apply only if custodial interrogation has taken place; there must be both `custody' and `interrogation' at the same time."13

We agree with the government that there was no Miranda violation when the officers merely addressed appellant while they remained in the hall outside her room. This part of the encounter was what has been called a "knock and talk" interview.14 Suffice it to say that appellant was not in police custody during this interview (at least not until the officers entered her room and handcuffed her).15 "Custody," for purposes of triggering the requirement of Miranda warnings, "is present when there has been a `formal arrest or restraint on freedom of movement of the degree associated with a formal arrest.'"16 The question is an objective one; "the only relevant inquiry is how a reasonable man in the suspect's position would have understood his situation.'"17 Even if, as appellant claims, a reasonable person in her situation would not have felt at liberty to terminate the doorway interview and leave, she mistakes the relevant inquiry. For Miranda purposes, we ask not whether a reasonable person would feel free to leave but whether a reasonable person would feel she was under formal arrest or restrained to the degree associated with a formal arrest.18 Appellant had not been taken from the security of her home or asked to leave it, nor had the officers (yet) intruded on that security; she was not physically restrained in any way; the officers did not brandish their weapons or otherwise engage in a show of force; and the officers did not tell appellant she was being detained or try to limit her movements.19 On these facts of record, we hold that a reasonable person in appellant's position would not have understood herself to be under formal arrest, or under a comparable restraint on her freedom of movement, while the police stood in the hallway and questioned her while she stayed inside her room.20

Because this questioning was non-custodial, Miranda warnings were not constitutionally required before the police entered the room and placed appellant in handcuffs. That conclusion leaves in question the admissibility under Miranda of appellant's unwarned post-entry statements. However, we need not address the government's argument that any post-entry Miranda violation in eliciting those statements was harmless error (an argument, we pause to note, that implicitly concedes the Fifth Amendment violation21), for — as we now turn to discuss — the Fourth Amendment violation in this case entitles appellant to a new trial at which none of the evidence obtained by the police after their warrantless entry of her home will be admissible.

C. The Warrantless Entry of Appellant's Room

Appellant also claims that the police officers' unconsented entry and search of her home violated her Fourth Amendment rights, both because the police lacked probable cause to believe she had committed a crime, and because there was no showing of exigent circumstances excusing the officers' failure to apply for and secure a warrant. Accordingly, she argues, the evidence obtained inside her home should have been suppressed. The government, defending the trial court's ruling, responds that appellant's admission to having "trashed" Mr. Ward's property furnished the requisite probable cause, and that the evidence found in the warrantless intrusion was properly admitted under the "inevitable discovery" exception to the exclusionary rule.22

We do not doubt that Mr. Ward's report to the police, combined with appellant's text message and her incriminating admission that she had destroyed his property, provided probable cause to believe she had done so unlawfully, and perhaps also that evidence of that offense likely would be found in her room. Even so, in the absence of exigent circumstances, the existence of probable cause does not privilege the police to enter someone's home without a warrant, and we conclude that the "inevitable discovery" doctrine does not apply to the direct and immediate fruits of that Fourth Amendment violation. We therefore agree with appellant that both the physical evidence and the incriminating admissions obtained after Officers Tobe and Collins entered her room should have been suppressed.

"In terms that apply equally to seizures of property and to seizures of persons, the Fourth Amendment has drawn a firm line at the entrance to the house. Absent exigent circumstances, that threshold may not reasonably be crossed without a warrant."23 The police thus violated appellant's Fourth Amendment rights when, absent exigent circumstances, they made a nonconsensual entry into her home without a warrant. Both her ensuing admissions and the physical evidence Officer Tobe discovered (Mr. Ward's possessions) were subject to exclusion as the direct and immediate fruits of that constitutional violation.24

To avoid application of the exclusionary rule, the government argues only that "even if appellant had not told the officers that Mr. Ward's property was located in her bathroom, they would have inevitably found the property via a search warrant."25 The only record support for this assertion is Officer Tobe's testimony that "we would have probably searched through the trash cans [for Mr. Ward's property, and] had we not found it in the dumpsters ... [w]e could have applied for a search warrant." But testimony that the police "could" have applied for a warrant is insufficient to establish that lawful discovery of the evidence was inevitable.

The inevitable discovery doctrine shields illegally obtained evidence from the exclusionary rule if the government can show, by a preponderance of the evidence, that the evidence "ultimately or inevitably would have been discovered by lawful means."26 "Would" — not "could" or "might" — is the word the Supreme Court used in Nix v. Williams and is, therefore, the "constitutional standard."27 In determining whether discovery was inevitable, the trial court cannot engage in speculation, and must focus exclusively on "demonstrated historical facts capable of ready verification or impeachment."28 Accordingly, we have said that "the lawful process which would have ended in the inevitable discovery must have commenced before the constitutionally invalid seizure, and there must be the requisite actuality that the discovery would have ultimately been made by lawful means."29

The requirements of the inevitable discovery doctrine were not met in this case. At the time the police officers illegally entered appellant's room, and even when they seized Mr. Ward's property from her bathroom, the "lawful process" that supposedly would have ended in the inevitable discovery of that property there — the putative application for a search warrant for the room — had not begun. Indeed, it was never begun; we have only Officer Tobe's statement that he "could" have applied for a warrant in the event a hypothetical search of nearby dumpsters (which itself had not been commenced and was hardly certain to have been performed) was unproductive. Of course, whenever police officers disregard the warrant requirement, they "could" have applied for a warrant instead. But in this case, there is no solid evidence that the officers would have done so. "It is, at best, speculative rather than based on `demonstrated historical facts capable of ready verification'" that the officers would have applied for, let alone obtained, a warrant to search appellant's abode.30 Thus, the "requisite actuality that the discovery would have ultimately been made by lawful means"31 is entirely lacking here.32

We therefore conclude that all the evidence obtained by the police following their unconstitutional entry into appellant's home — including appellant's statements in the room, the video recording of activity in the room made by Officer Tobe's body camera, and Mr. Ward's property — should have been suppressed and was admitted at appellant's trial in error. The government does not contend that this constitutional error was harmless.

III.

For the foregoing reasons, we vacate appellant's conviction and remand for a new trial.