Re Document Nos.: 19, 33, 36, 39

MEMORANDUM OPINION

GRANTING FEDERAL DEFENDANTS' AND INTERVENOR DEFENDANTS' CROSS-MOTIONS FOR SUMMARY JUDGMENT AND DENYING PLAINTIFFS' MOTION FOR SUMMARY JUDGMENT

RUDOLPH CONTRERAS, United States District Judge

I. INTRODUCTION

In 2012, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service ("FWS" or "Service") withdrew a proposed rule that would have listed the dunes sagebrush lizard as an endangered species. Subsequently, the Defenders of Wildlife and the Center for Biological Diversity ("Plaintiffs") brought suit against the Secretary of the Interior and the Director of the FWS ("Federal Defendants") to challenge the withdrawal decision. The Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts and several oil and gas industry associations intervened as defendants ("Intervenor Defendants"). Plaintiffs moved for summary judgment, contending that the withdrawal decision failed to account for all of the statutory listing factors provided in the Endangered Species Act ("ESA"), did not rely on the best available science as mandated by the ESA, and was arbitrary and capricious in violation of both the ESA and Administrative Procedure Act ("APA"). Federal Defendants and Intervenor Defendants cross-moved for summary judgment, arguing that the FWS's withdrawal decision was lawful. Because the FWS's decision complied with the ESA and APA, the Court grants Federal Defendants' and Intervenor Defendants' cross-motions for summary judgment and denies Plaintiffs' motion for summary judgment.

II. BACKGROUND

A. Statutory and Regulatory Framework

Congress enacted the ESA "to provide a means whereby the ecosystems upon which endangered species and threatened species depend may be conserved, [and] to provide a program for the conservation of such endangered species and threatened species...." 16 U.S.C. § 1531(b). The ESA defines an endangered species as "any species which is in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its range," and defines a threatened species as one that is "likely to become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its range." Id. §§ 1532(6), 1532(20).

Section 4(a) of the ESA provides that the Secretary of the Interior, through the FWS, "shall by regulation ... determine whether any species is an endangered species or a threatened species because of any" of five enumerated listing factors. Id. § 1533(a)(1). These listing factors are:

Id. § 1533(a)(1)(A)-(E). Additionally, section 4(b) of the ESA requires the Secretary to make listing decisions "solely on the basis of the best scientific and commercial data available to him after conducting a review of the status of the species and after taking into account those efforts, if any, being made by any State... to protect such species...." Id. § 1533(b)(1)(A).

In 1999, the FWS and National Marine Fisheries Service ("NMFS") established a policy to encourage states and private actors to undertake voluntary efforts to conserve candidate species — those being considered for ESA listing. Under the Candidate Conservation Agreements with Assurances ("CCAA") framework, in return for implementing agreed-upon conservation measures, state and private entities receive "assurances from the Services that additional conservation measures will not be required ... should the species become listed in the future." Announcement of Final Policy for Candidate Conservation Agreements with Assurances, 64 Fed.Reg. 32,726, 32,727 (June 17, 1999). While CCAAs are designed to "remov[e] any need to list the covered species," the mere existence of a CCAA will not preclude listing. Id. Nonetheless, CCAAs have over time become a common mechanism for promoting conservation of numerous candidate species.1

In 2003, the FWS and NMFS announced their Policy for Evaluation of Conservation Efforts When Making Listing Decisions ("PECE"). See PECE, 68 Fed.Reg. 15,100 (Mar. 28, 2003). Pursuant to section 4(b)'s requirement that listing decisions be made "after taking into account those [conservation] efforts, if any, being made by any State," 16 U.S.C. § 1533(b)(1)(A), the PECE allows FWS personnel making listing decisions to consider conservation efforts that have not yet been implemented, so long as the Service evaluates "the certainty that the conservation effort will be implemented," 68 Fed. Reg. at 15,114.2 Similarly, the PECE enables the FWS to consider conservation efforts that have not yet demonstrated effectiveness, if the Service evaluates "the certainty that the conservation effort will be effective." Id.3 In sum, the FWS must conclude that future efforts are "sufficiently certain to be implemented and effective." Id. at 15,115.

B. The Dunes Sagebrush Lizard

The dunes sagebrush lizard (Sceloporus arenicolus), also known as the sand dune lizard, is a light-brown lizard under three inches in length. It is found only in its shinnery oak dune habitat, where wind patterns create parabolic dunes dependent on shinnery oak in areas with sandy soils. See AR8230. The lizard's habitat spans approximately 745,000 acres, of which roughly 73% is found in New Mexico, and 27% in Texas. See AR8305. Additionally, much of the lizard's New Mexico habitat lies on federal land managed by the Bureau of Land Management ("BLM"). See AR8341.

The lizard's shinnery oak dune habitat also happens to be located in the Permian Basin, one of the most significant sources of oil and gas in the United States. See 77 Fed.Reg. 36,872, 36,887. Over time, oil and gas development, along with the use of herbicides, began to threaten and fragment the lizard's shinnery oak dune habitat. Having noted significant habitat loss in the 1980s and 1990s, the Service identified the lizard in 2001 as a candidate species. 66 Fed.Reg. 54,808, 54,811 (Oct. 30, 2001).

In December 2010, the FWS issued a proposed rule listing the lizard as endangered, "based on the immediacy, severity, and scope of the ongoing significant threats." Proposed Rule: Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Endangered Status for Dunes Sagebrush Lizard, 75 Fed.Reg. 77,801, 77,813 (Dec. 14.2010). As explained in the Proposed Rule, the lizard is considered to be a "habitat specialist because it has adapted to thrive only in a narrow range of environmental conditions that exist within shinnery oak dunes," and its survival "is directly linked to the quality and quantity of available shinnery oak dune habitat." Id. at 77,803. FWS noted that 40% of the lizard's habitat in New Mexico was no longer suitable, that oil and gas development further threatened the habitat, and that habitat fragmentation was causing population loss. See id. at 77,805. Following publication of the proposed rule, the Service held hearings in New Mexico and Texas during the sixty-day public comment period. The Service twice reopened the comment period, which ultimately closed in March 2012. See 77 Fed.Reg. 11,061 (Feb. 24, 2012).

In June 2012, the FWS withdrew its proposed rule listing the lizard. See Withdrawal of the Proposed Rule to List Dunes Sagebrush Lizard, 77 Fed.Reg. 36,872 (June 19, 2012). In summarizing its conclusions, the Service explained that "the threats to the species ... no longer are as significant as believed at the time of the proposed rule" and that this finding rested on "analysis of current and future threats and conservation efforts" and "the best scientific and commercial data available." Id. at 36,872. In particular, the FWS relied upon "significant ongoing and future conservation efforts, in combination with new information on the status and distribution of the species." Id. at 36,898.

C. The Conservation Agreements

In declining to list the dunes sagebrush lizard as endangered, the FWS assessed the protections afforded to the lizard by three distinct conservation mechanisms: (1) the Bureau of Land Management's Special Status Species Resource Management Plan Amendment ("BLM's RMPA"), (2) New Mexico's Candidate Conservation Agreement and Candidate Conservation Agreement with Assurances (collectively "New Mexico Agreement"), and (3) the Texas Candidate Conservation Agreement with Assurances and Habitat Conservation Plan ("Texas Plan"). Collectively, the three mechanisms covered approximately 89% of the lizard's habitat. AR8333, 8305.

Since 2008, the BLM's RMPA has provided internal guidance to BLM staff for conserving the dunes sagebrush lizard on land managed by the BLM in New Mexico-54% of the lizard's entire range, as of the withdrawal decision. 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,896. Among other measures, the RMPA allows the BLM to place oil and gas development up to 200 meters (650 feet) outside the lizard habitat, prioritizes habitat reclamation, and prohibits herbicide usage. Id. Additionally, pursuant to the RMPA, BLM identified 53,657 ha (132,590 ac) that were "currently unleased dunes sagebrush lizard habitat that will be closed to future leasing." Id.

The New Mexico Agreement took effect in 2008. AR7720. At the time of the FWS's withdrawal decision, the New Mexico Agreement covered 83% of the lizard's habitat in that state, and combined with lands covered by the BLM's RMPA, 95% of the habitat in New Mexico was enrolled in some conservation agreement. AR8256, 8289, 8333. Parties subject to the New Mexico Agreement agree to (1) refrain from undertaking new oil and gas development in the lizard's habitat, (2) reclaim the lizard's habitat to remedy fragmentation, (3) refrain from new pipeline construction in the habitat, (4) refrain from using herbicide treatments in the habitat, and (5) prevent mesquite encroachment into the habitat. AR7725.4

Concluded in February 2012, the Texas Plan aims "to facilitate continued and uninterrupted economic activity in the Permian Basin ... and to promote conservation of the [dunes sagebrush lizard] ... in response to the proposed listing of the [lizard] by the FWS." AR4372.5 Participants in the Texas Plan must implement and maintain conservation measures to which they contractually agree in a Certificate of Inclusion. AR4376. These measures aim to avoid activities that would degrade habitat; if avoidance is not possible, participants must minimize habitat impacts, or alternatively mitigate habitat loss. See 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,885.6 On a monthly reporting basis, a third party tracks impacts to the lizard habitat. AR4425. In the first three years of the Texas Plan's implementation, habitat loss coming within 7.5% of the allowed 1% loss in total habitat "will trigger a review between the Permit Holder and the FWS through the Adaptive Management process" outlined in the Texas Plan. AR4426. In return for participation, the FWS issues permits authorizing incidental takes of the lizard, should it ever be listed as an endangered species. AR4396-97.

* * *

In June 2013, Plaintiffs commenced this action against Federal Defendants, challenging the FWS's withdrawal of its proposed rule listing the dunes sagebrush lizard as endangered. See Compl. ¶¶ 62-75, ECF No. 1. This Court granted the Intervenor Defendants' motion to intervene given their role in developing the various conservation plans upon which the FWS relied in deciding not to list the lizard.7 Plaintiffs subsequently moved for summary judgment, contending that the withdrawal decision failed to account for all of the statutory listing factors provided in the ESA, did not rely on the best available science as mandated by the ESA, and was arbitrary and capricious in violation of both the ESA and APA. See Pls.' Mot. Summ. J., ECF No. 19. Federal Defendants and Intervenor Defendants cross-moved for summary judgment, arguing that the withdrawal decision was lawful. See Fed. Defs.' Cross-Mot. Summ. J., ECF No. 33; Comptroller's Cross-Mot. Summ. J., ECF No. 36; API's Cross-Mot. Summ. J., ECF No. 39.

III. STANDARD OF REVIEW

Typically, a court may grant summary judgment when "the movant shows that there is no genuine dispute as to any material fact and the movant is entitled to judgment as a matter of law." Fed.R.Civ.P. 56(a). But when assessing a summary judgment motion in an APA case, "the district judge sits as an appellate tribunal." Am. Bioscience, Inc. v. Thompson, 269 F.3d 1077, 1083 (D.C.Cir. 2001). "The entire case on review is a question of law, and only a question of law." Marshall Cnty. Health Care Auth. v. Shalala, 988 F.2d 1221, 1226 (D.C.Cir. 1993). "In such a case, summary judgment merely serves as the mechanism for deciding, as a matter of law, whether the agency action is supported by the administrative record and otherwise consistent with the APA standard of review." Oceana, Inc. v. Locke, 831 F.Supp.2d 95, 106 (D.D.C.2011). "Moreover, the party challenging an agency's action as arbitrary and capricious bears the burden of proof." See San Luis Obispo Mothers for Peace v. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comm'n, 789 F.2d 26, 37 (D.C.Cir.1986) (en banc).

Under the APA, a reviewing court may set aside agency action if it is "arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law." 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A). An agency acts in an arbitrary and capricious manner if it "has relied on factors which Congress has not intended it to consider, entirely failed to consider an important aspect of the problem, offered an explanation for its decision that runs counter to the evidence before the agency, or is so implausible that it could not be ascribed to a difference in view or the product of agency expertise." Motor Vehicle Ass'n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins., 463 U.S. 29, 43, 103 S.Ct. 2856, 77 L.Ed.2d 443 (1983). "Although this inquiry into the facts is to be searching and careful, the ultimate standard of review is a narrow one. The court is not empowered to substitute its judgment for that of the agency." Citizens to Preserve Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 401 U.S. 402, 416, 91 S.Ct. 814, 28 L.Ed.2d 136 (1971).

Judicial review of agency action under the ESA is similarly governed by the arbitrary and capricious standard. See Cabinet Mountains Wilderness v. Peterson, 685 F.2d 678, 685 (D.C.Cir.1982) ("Since the ESA does not specify a standard of review, judicial review is governed by section 706 of the Administrative Procedure Act ...."); accord WildEarth Guardians v. Salazar, 670 F.Supp.2d 1, 4 (D.D.C.2009).

"The Court will give an extreme degree of deference to the agency when it `is evaluating scientific data within its technical expertise.'" Oceana, Inc. v. Pritzker, No. 11-1896, 24 F.Supp.3d 49, 59, 2014 WL 912364, at *5 (D.D.C.2014) (quoting Huls Am., Inc. v. Browner, 83 F.3d 445, 452 (D.C.Cir.1996)). And "[w]hen examining a scientific determination, as opposed to simple findings of fact, a reviewing court must generally be at its most deferential." Id. (quoting Balt. Gas & Elec. Co. v. NRDC, 462 U.S. 87, 103, 103 S.Ct. 2246, 76 L.Ed.2d 437 (1983)).

IV. ANALYSIS

Plaintiffs contend that, in withdrawing its proposed rule listing the dunes sagebrush lizard as endangered, the FWS failed to account for all of the statutory listing factors provided in the ESA, did not rely on the best available science as mandated by the ESA, and acted in an arbitrary and capricious manner in violation of the ESA and APA. The Court addresses each argument in turn.

A. The FWS properly considered the five ESA listing factors both individually and cumulatively.

Plaintiffs argue that the FWS's withdrawal of the proposed rule violated the ESA because the Service failed to consider adequately the five ESA listing factors. See Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 32-38. In response, Federal Defendants and Intervenor Defendants argue that FWS properly analyzed the statutory factors in reaching its conclusion. See Fed. Defs.' Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 35-41; Comptroller's Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 39-43; API's Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 19-25.

The Court concludes that FWS sufficiently considered the five ESA listing factors — both individually and cumulatively. First, the FWS addressed at length listing factor A — "the present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range." 16 U.S.C. § 1533(a)(1)(A). The Service recognized that habitat loss was "[t]he greatest threat" to the species but ultimately found that "more than 50 percent of the dunes sagebrush lizard's habitat is not fragmented, and provides adequate core habitat...." 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,887-89. Based on several studies, the FWS further concluded that larger, less fragmented habitat patches would "support higher populations and decrease the chance of local population loss and extinction." Id.8 The FWS also cited a 2011 effort undertaken by scientists at Texas A & M University that delineated the lizard's habitat in Texas, based on fifty surveys throughout its in-state range. Id. at 36,874.

The FWS further explained that the threat of habitat loss was sufficiently ameliorated by the three conservation mechanisms — the BLM's RMPA, the New Mexico Agreement, and the Texas Plan — which "provide conservation measures ... to restore degraded habitat, and to reduce fragmentation or restore connectivity...." Id. at 36,894.9 The FWS reasoned that "[b]ecause of these agreements, the RMPA, and the habitat that has been removed from leasing, the Service concludes that oil and gas development will not continue within dunes sagebrush lizard habitat at historical rates." Id.10 Accordingly, because "current habitat conditions will be maintained or improved," the FWS "no longer finds this factor to be a threat, either now or in the future." Id. at 36,895. In sum, the FWS reasonably concluded that because of the conservation agreements and the efforts to mitigate habitat loss and reclaim habitat, listing factor A no longer warranted listing the lizard.11

Likewise, the FWS gave sufficient consideration to listing factor D — "the inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms." 16 U.S.C. § 1533(a)(1)(D). The Service's analysis under factor D centered on the BLM's RMPA, which had "exist[ed]" since 2008.12 The FWS first found that in accordance with the RMPA, BLM identified 53,657 ha (132,590 ac) that were "currently unleased dunes sagebrush lizard habitat that will be closed to future leasing." 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,896. FWS further found that the BLM's RMPA "prioritizes the reclamation of nonfunctioning oilfield development in areas that will most benefit the dunes sagebrush lizard." Id.

Plaintiffs claim that because the FWS found the BLM's RMPA to be inadequate when it issued the proposed rule in 2010, the 2012 withdrawal decision's reliance on the RMPA was arbitrary and capricious. But in its withdrawal decision, the FWS explained that when it initially proposed listing the lizard, it "did not have a full understanding of how BLM implements the RMPA," and that subsequently, the BLM provided additional "detailed information" about this implementation. Id. The FWS found particularly salient the fact that "no exceptions have been made to the conservation measure that keeps development outside" of the lizard habitat. Id.13 The Service further concluded that "BLM does not treat the RMPA as discretionary guidance, but instead implements it with all activities" in the habitat. Id. On the basis of this additional information, the FWS was satisfied that the BLM's RMPA functioned as an adequate regulatory mechanism.14

As for the cumulative impacts of all five listing factors, the FWS concluded that although the potential threats to the lizard "could work in concert with one another... to the point that they may, in combination, become significant threats, ... the suite of conservation efforts in the RMPA, the New Mexico Agreement, and Texas Plan address and alleviate all of the threats to the dunes sagebrush lizard adequately for the species to continue to be viable into the future." Id. at 36,897. Plaintiffs challenge the FWS's cumulative analysis, drawing comparisons to the analysis found deficient in WildEarth Guardians v. Salazar, 741 F.Supp.2d 89 (D.D.C. 2010). In that case, the FWS's statement on cumulative impacts consisted of: "Although we agree that these factors are hindering recovery of the species, we disagree that the level of threat is significant enough to warrant endangered status." Id. at 101. The court found this analysis to be conclusory and unsupported by the record, and therefore concluded that the withdrawal decision was arbitrary and capricious. Id. at 101-103. Here, while the FWS's cumulative impacts analysis is rather terse, it is based on more than an unsupported conclusion, as in WildEarth. The FWS relied on the panoply of conservation efforts taken by the BLM, Texas, and New Mexico, and found that such efforts alleviated and addressed those threats. 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,897. Plaintiffs present no evidence that the cumulative effect of the various factors changes the analysis. Given that the FWS thoroughly assessed a wide range of conservation efforts, its withdrawal decision was not arbitrary and capricious.

B. FWS relied on the best available science in its assessment of the various conservation efforts.

Plaintiffs also argue that the FWS's withdrawal decision violated the ESA by not resting "solely on ... the best scientific and commercial data available...." 16 U.S.C. § 1533(b)(1)(A); see also Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 38-40. Plaintiffs argue that the withdrawal decision was driven instead by "considerable political pressure," id. at 38-39, as evinced by the temporal proximity between the Texas Plan's adoption and the subsequent withdrawal decision. Federal Defendants and Intervenor Defendants contend that the FWS's analysis amply satisfied the "best available science" standard. See Fed. Defs.' Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 41-43; Comptroller's Cross-Mot. Summ J. 43-44; API's Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 30-34.

The D.C. Circuit has determined that the "best data available" standard imposes no obligation to conduct independent studies or "to find and consider any information [that may be] susceptible to discovery." Sw. Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. Babbitt, 215 F.3d 58, 61 (D.C.Cir.2000). Instead, an agency is prohibited only from disregarding scientifically superior evidence available at the time. See Friends of Blackwater v. Salazar, 691 F.3d 428, 435 (D.C.Cir.2012) ("[T]he Service is entitled to rely upon the best data available....").15 When a party challenges the validity of data cited by an agency, the court is responsible for assessing the evidence, but may not "impos[e] an obligation upon the Secretary to find better data." Babbitt, 215 F.3d at 61.

At the outset, the Court notes that although the withdrawal decision followed soon after the Texas Plan's adoption, the FWS had in fact been working on drafts of the Plan since July 2011 — almost a year before its decision. See AR1739. The Plaintiffs do not deny that the Service addressed new information about the implementation of the BLM's RMPA or that it undertook PECE evaluations of both the New Mexico Agreement and Texas Plan, which collectively covered 89% of the species habitat at the time. See AR7732 (analysis of BLM's RMPA); AR7720-7758 (PECE analyses). In addition, the FWS reviewed input from experts, state governments, and other government agencies, and considered extensive scientific studies of the dunes sagebrush lizard and its habitat. AR8090-93, 8234?35, 8238-8252; 8284-8292. This Court's review is further constrained by the principle that "[t]he rationale for deference is particularly strong when the agency is evaluating scientific data within its technical expertise." See Am. Wildlands v. Kempthorne, 530 F.3d 991, 1000 (D.C.Cir.2008) (internal alteration omitted).

Moreover, the presence of political pressure alone says nothing about whether the FWS's scientific data was indeed the "best available." Plaintiffs proffer no scientifically superior data from the administrative record that FWS failed to consider; rather, they simply assert that "considerable political pressure" caused FWS to "rel[y] upon voluntary conservation agreements and assurances from the oil and gas industry interests...." Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 39-40.

Accordingly, the Court finds that the FWS's withdrawal decision rested on "the best scientific and commercial data available," as required by the ESA. 16 U.S.C. § 1533(b)(1)(A).

C. Because the FWS's withdrawal decision reasonably relied on the Texas Plan and complied with the Service's policies, the decision was not arbitrary and capricious.

Plaintiffs argue that the FWS's decision not to list the lizard was arbitrary and capricious under the ESA and APA on two related but independent grounds. First, they claim that the Service irrationally relied on a vague and unproven Texas Plan. Second, they argue that Service's confidence in the success of the various conservation mechanisms violated the PECE's requirement that FWS, when assessing future conservation efforts, must confirm the "certainty" of implementation and effectiveness. See Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 17-32. The Court rejects both claims and concludes that the FWS's withdrawal decision was not arbitrary and capricious.

1. Because the Texas Plan had sufficiently clear objectives and enabled regular monitoring, the FWS's reliance upon the Texas Plan was reasonable, notwithstanding the confidentiality of the Certificates of Inclusion.

Plaintiffs argue that the FWS's reliance on the Texas Plan was arbitrary and capricious because the Service did not — and could not — review the Certificates of Inclusion detailing conservation measures adopted by each participant, which are confidential under Texas law. See Tex. Gov't Code Ann. §§ 403.454, 552.101 (West 2011). Without access to the Certificates, they claim, the Service "could not rationally have concluded that the Texas [Plan] is sufficiently certain to be implemented and effective...." See Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 28 (internal quotation marks omitted). Federal Defendants and Intervenor Defendants submit that access to each individual Certificate is unnecessary given that the FWS is fully able to monitor the Texas Plan at an aggregate level. Fed. Defs.' Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 16-21; Comptroller's Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 38.

Having reviewed the administrative record, the Court cannot agree with Plaintiffs' assertion. First, prior to the withdrawal decision, the Service had learned that most Certificates of Inclusion would require avoidance of lizard habitat. See AR7742 (explaining that most development "occurs or will likely occur either outside of habitat complexes or within the spaces in between where habitat does not occur"). Where avoidance and minimization efforts are not feasible, each Texas Plan participant is obligated, at the minimum, to mitigate habitat loss. See supra note 6. Moreover, the Comptroller must submit to the FWS monthly and annual reports to enable it to adequately monitor implementation and compliance. See AR4512-13.

Plaintiffs assert that the FWS could only have been certain of the Texas Plan's efficacy if it had known "on which property [habitat] disturbance is occurring," Pls.' Reply Supp. Mot. Summ. J. 5, ECF No. 41, and whether "any particular landowner will implement conservation measures," id. at 9. This heightened precision is necessary, they submit, because certain "high quality, unfragmented habitat parcels" are more critical than others, but under the Texas Plan, the amount of "incidental take" is reported at the "Habitat Classification" level, of which there are only four. Id. However, as the Service explains, the four Habitat Classification levels actually correspond to habitat quality and the likelihood of lizard occurrence.16 Because the Texas Plan limits habitat loss within each level, AR4535-36, and because the amount of habitat enrolled in each level is known, AR8044, the FWS can monitor losses within each quality level, thereby protecting the most critical areas about which Plaintiffs are concerned.17

In sum, the FWS reasonably concluded that, even if it could not review each individual Certificate of Inclusion, it would have access to sufficient aggregate data "to ensure that all of the conservation measures are implemented as planned, and are effective at removing threats to the lizard and its habitat." 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,886.18 Thus, the confidentiality of the Certificates of Inclusion does not render the FWS's reliance on the Texas Plan arbitrary and capricious.

2. Because the FWS properly found that the conservation efforts' implementation and effectiveness were "sufficiently certain," the withdrawal decision complied with its PECE.

Plaintiffs contend that in declining to list the lizard, the FWS failed to verify the "certainty" of various conservation efforts' implementation and effectiveness, as required by its own PECE.19 68 Fed.Reg. at 15,114; see Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 28-32.20 In response, Federal Defendants and Intervenor Defendants contend that the implementation and effectiveness of the conservation mechanisms were "sufficiently certain," as the Service found in its withdrawal decision. 68 Fed.Reg. at 15,115 (emphasis added); Fed. Defs.' Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 21-32; Comptroller's Cross-Mot. Summ. J. 35-39.

The Court concludes that the administrative record demonstrates that the FWS's withdrawal decision fully complied with its PECE. The FWS concluded that the New Mexico Agreement, Texas Plan, and BLM's RMPA "put in place conservation efforts that have been implemented by the States, BLM, private landowners, and oil and gas companies, and have a high level of certainty of continuing to be implemented in the future and of being effective." 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,898 (emphasis added). The Service supported this conclusion by assessing enrollment and compliance trends, the commitment and resources of participants, and monitoring and evaluation mechanisms.21

Plaintiffs contend that the FWS should not have credited the Texas Plan's commitment to capping overall habitat loss at 1% over the first three years of the Plan. AR7742. Plaintiffs contend that although this 1% goal might have been realistic if 99% of the Texas lizard habitat had been enrolled in the Plan, only 64-71% of the Texas acreage was enrolled at the time of the withdrawal decision. See Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 27, 29. Furthermore, they contend that incentives for participation would only weaken after the withdrawal decision. Id. at 30. But the FWS reasonably expected participation in the Texas Plan to increase, based on its experience in New Mexico. See 77 Fed.Reg. at 36,886 ("The high level of participation and compliance with the New Mexico [Agreement] and additional voluntary conservation efforts prescribed by the Texas [Plan] supports our determination that similar enrollment, implementation, and success is [sic] likely to be achieved in Texas."). In any event, the FWS further found that not every acre of the species' Texas habitat needed to be covered in order to meet the 1% target.22

Plaintiffs also claim in passing that the Service's inability to access the Certificates of Inclusion precludes finding any "certainty" in the Texas Plan's implementation or effectiveness. See Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 29. For reasons discussed above, this claim is without merit. See supra Part IV.C.1. Similarly, Plaintiffs' contention that the adaptive management model is inapplicable in this context presumes incorrectly that the FWS has no access to "the data necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of conservation measures." Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 30.

Plaintiffs also misread Alaska v. Lubchenco, 825 F.Supp.2d 209 (D.D.C.2011), for the proposition that "PECE requires certainty that current conservation measures are actually being implemented and effectively aiding the species." Pls.' Mot. Summ. J. 29 (emphasis added). In that case, Alaska challenged the NMFS's decision to list the beluga whale as endangered. In its motion for summary judgment, Alaska contended that the NMFS failed to consider the state's conservation efforts prior to making its listing decision, in violation of Section 4(b)(1)(A). See 16 U.S.C. § 1533(b)(1)(A). The court noted that the NMFS "considers a State's conservation efforts in accordance with its [PECE], which requires that current conservation efforts demonstrate some degree of certainty as to their `implementation' and `effectiveness.'" Lubchenco, 825 F.Supp.2d at 219. "In other words," the court explained, "it is not enough for the State to identify conservation efforts that may be beneficial to a species' preservation; those efforts must actually be in place and have achieved some measure of success in order to count under the Service's [PECE] policy." Id. Applying these principles, the court reasoned that certain state efforts were not targeted specifically at beluga whales, while others were underfunded. Id. In denying Alaska's motion for summary judgment, the court ultimately agreed with the NMFS that conservation efforts "had not demonstrated a degree of effectiveness sufficient to alleviate concern" about the beluga whales. Id.

Consistent with the PECE, Lubchenco permits agencies to consider state programs that are not yet fully implemented or proven. The Lubchenco court understood that agencies may take into account preliminary "efforts" that meet with some early "success" in planning and preparation, id. though conservation efforts at issue in that case "had not demonstrated a degree of effectiveness sufficient" to withhold listing. Id. (emphasis added).23 Thus, the PECE, as explicated in Lubchenco, recognizes that implementation and effectiveness are often assessed in relative rather than absolute terms; when faced with regulatory uncertainty and risk to certain species, the Service can still chart a course of action, provided it assesses and controls for that uncertainty and risk.24 Here, the FWS did just this, when confronted with the newly concluded Texas Plan.25

Having analyzed each factor required by its PECE, the FWS reasonably concluded that the New Mexico and Texas conservation measures were "sufficiently certain" to be implemented and effective. 77 Fed. Reg. at 36,882 (citing PECE); see also AR7720-7759 (PECE analyses). Accordingly, the Service's reliance on those measures complied fully with its PECE.26

V. CONCLUSION

The FWS's withdrawal decision was neither arbitrary and capricious under the ESA and APA, nor contrary to ESA requirements governing listing decisions. The FWS examined the conservation measures in place and determined that they would be effective and would continue to eliminate threats to the lizard. Of course, if the measures prove ineffective, the FWS is free to revisit its decision and list the lizard as endangered.

For the foregoing reasons, Federal Defendants' and Intervenor Defendants' cross-motions for summary judgment are GRANTED, and Plaintiffs' motion for summary judgment is DENIED. An Order consistent with this Memorandum Opinion is separately and contemporaneously issued.