O'BRIEN, Circuit Judge.
In 2002, Frontier State Bank began using a "leverage strategy" under which it funded long-term investments with short-term borrowing to generate profits from the difference ("spread") between long-term and short-term interest rates. This strategy, while lucrative for the bank — at least in the short run — caused significant concern for bank examiners at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) who raised the issue with Frontier during routine examinations. After Frontier's responses failed to quell the examiners' concerns, the FDIC's enforcement staff sought and obtained a cease-and-desist order from the FDIC Board. The order requires Frontier to take a variety of steps to mitigate the risks associated with its leverage strategy. Frontier now petitions for review of the decision and order. It complains about the order's requirements with respect to leverage capital, interest rate risk exposure, liquidity, and bank management. The FDIC asserts we lack authority to review the order's leverage capital requirements; it defends the rest of the order as a reasonable exercise of the FDIC Board's authority. We deny Frontier's petition.
In the United States, the FDIC is responsible for supervising and regulating commercial banks that are neither federally
This case centers on whether Frontier's leverage strategy is too risky. As the FDIC notes in its Capital Markets Examination Handbook: "Properly designed leverage programs efficiently utilize excess capital, and increase earnings and return on equity. A leverage program can be undertaken with little incremental overhead expense and, theoretically, an institution incurs less credit risk than traditional lending activities due to the high quality of the assets being purchased." FDIC — Division of Supervision and Consumer Protection, FDIC Capital Markets Examination Handbook 462 (June 2007). Nevertheless, when "[i]mproperly managed, these strategies cause imprudent levels of interest rate risk and increased supervisory concern." Id. The "predominant risk" in a leverage strategy is interest rate risk — "the possibility that [a] ... portfolio's value will fluctuate in response to changes in interest rates." Id. at 3, 465. Other prominent risks include liquidity risk — "the possibility that an [investment] cannot be disposed of in a reasonable time without forfeiting economic value" — and operating risk including "[t]he risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems ... [including] lack of management expertise or inadequate measurement or monitoring systems.". Id. at 467.
According to the FDIC, Frontier's leverage strategy
The FDIC's bank examiners expressed their concern in their February 2004 examination report. To address those concerns, Frontier and the FDIC negotiated a memorandum of understanding, which required Frontier to take a variety of remedial steps, including (1) achieve and maintain a leverage capital ratio of 7%; (2) "[d]evelop an [acceptable] interest rate risk measurement model"; (ALJ's RD 3.) (3) establish "acceptable" interest rate risk limits; and (4) "develop plans [for] improving liquidity and reducing reliance on volatile liabilities to fund longer term assets."
The FDIC's concerns continued through Frontier's 2008 examination. After that examination, the FDIC filed charges alleging Frontier's leverage strategy was "unsafe or unsound." (ALJ's RD 1.) The FDIC later amended the notice to allege Frontier executed its leverage strategy with excessive interest rate risk, inadequate capital, inadequate liquidity, and inadequate management. The FDIC sought a cease-and-desist order to stop Frontier from executing its leverage strategy in this "unsafe or unsound" manner.
A six-day hearing before an administrative law judge (ALJ) culminated in a recommended decision concluding Frontier had "engaged in unsafe or unsound practices by imprudently operating its Leverage Strategy Program with an excessive level of interest rate risk exposure." (ALJ's RD 58.) The ALJ found Frontier lacked adequate capital, interest rate risk management, liquidity, and appropriate investment and asset/liability management practices. The ALJ proposed a cease-and-desist order addressing these unsafe and unsound practices. In particular, the proposed order required Frontier to maintain a 10% tier 1 leverage capital ratio,
Frontier contends the FDIC Board's order is arbitrary and capricious for four reasons: (1) inadequate record support for the imposed 10% tier 1 leverage capital requirement; (2) inadequate record support for finding it was exposed to excessive interest rate risk; (3) insufficient basis in the record for the order's liquidity requirements;
Under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA), we "decide all relevant questions of law, interpret constitutional and statutory provisions, and determine the meaning or applicability of the terms of an agency action." 5 U.S.C. § 706. We must set aside agency action, findings, and conclusions that are arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise contrary to law. Id. An agency acts arbitrarily and capriciously if it relies on factors deemed irrelevant by Congress, fails to consider important aspects of the problem, or presents an explanation that is either implausible or contrary to the evidence. Bd. of County Comm'rs of Cnty. of Adams v. Isaac, 18 F.3d 1492, 1497 (10th Cir. 1994). The agency's decision must be supported by evidence "establish[ing] a rational relationship between its factual findings and its conclusion." Id. On that evidence, the agency need only make a reasonable choice. Id. Frontier's requested relief is unwarranted under this standard of review.
Frontier contends the FDIC Board's imposition of a 10% tier 1 leverage capital ratio is arbitrary and capricious. According to the FDIC, the Board's decision is not subject to judicial review because the decision is committed to its discretion by law. Frontier disagrees; in its view, when the FDIC sets capital levels using a cease-and-desist order rather than a capital directive, judicial review is appropriate.
We reject Frontier's argument. Since our authority to review agency action under the APA is a threshold issue, Mount Evans Co. v. Madigan, 14 F.3d 1444, 1448 (10th Cir.1994), we examine it first. As we explain below, Congress left the setting of capital levels exclusively to the FDIC's discretion because there is no "meaningful standard against which to judge the agency's exercise of discretion." See Heckler v. Chaney, 470 U.S. 821, 830, 105 S.Ct. 1649, 84 L.Ed.2d 714 (1985); see also 5 U.S.C. § 701(a)(2). Since there is no such standard, there is no way for us to discern whether the FDIC abused its discretion or acted arbitrarily and capriciously in establishing minimum capital levels for Frontier, regardless of the enforcement procedure the FDIC employed.
The FDIC's authority to issue cease-and-desist orders originates in 12 U.S.C. § 1818(b), which allows it to issue a notice of charges to a bank engaging in an "unsafe or unsound practice."
Id. § 1818(b)(h)(2) (emphasis added).
The statute vests this court with jurisdiction to review cease-and-desist orders. But it also explicitly incorporates the APA's standards for judicial review. Id. While the APA embodies a presumption of judicial review, "[t]his is just a presumption, however, and under § 701(a)(2) agency action is not subject to judicial review `to the extent that' such action `is committed to agency discretion by law.'" Madigan, 14 F.3d at 1449 (quoting Lincoln v. Vigil, 508 U.S. 182, 190-91, 113 S.Ct. 2024, 124 L.Ed.2d 101 (1993)). As § 701(a)(2) makes clear, judicial review is not available in those circumstances where the relevant statute "is drawn so that a court would have no meaningful standard against which to judge the agency's exercise of discretion." Heckler, 470 U.S. at 830, 105 S.Ct. 1649; see Madigan, 14 F.3d at 1449. "In such a case, the statute ... can be taken to have `committed' the decisionmaking to the agency's judgment absolutely." Heckler, 470 U.S. at 830, 105 S.Ct. 1649; see Lincoln v. Vigil, 508 U.S. 182, 191, 113 S.Ct. 2024, 124 L.Ed.2d 101 (1993).
This is such a case. Prior to the enactment of the International Lending Supervision Act of 1983 (ILSA), courts took a more active role in reviewing banking regulators' orders relating to capital. In First National Bank of Bellaire v. Comptroller of Currency, the Fifth Circuit concluded a banking regulator's order setting a capital requirement was not supported by substantial evidence; it accordingly vacated the regulator's cease-and-desist order. 697 F.2d 674, 684-85, 687 (5th Cir.1983). Congress responded to the First National Bank of Bellaire decision by enacting ILSA. Pub.L. No. 98-181, § 901, 97 Stat. 1153, 1280 (1983). As pertinent here, it provides:
12 U.S.C. § 3907(a)(2) (emphasis added). Moreover, "[f]ailure of a banking institution to maintain capital ... as established pursuant to subsection (a) of this section may be deemed by the appropriate Federal banking agency, in its discretion, to constitute an unsafe and unsound practice within the meaning of section 1818 of this title." Id. § 3907(b)(1) (emphasis added).
These sections of ILSA use the same language the Supreme Court identified in Webster v. Doe as committing a decision to an agency's sole discretion. 486 U.S. 592, 108 S.Ct. 2047, 100 L.Ed.2d 632 (1988). In Webster, the Supreme Court compared the kind of statutory language establishing a meaningful judicial review standard with statutory language not doing so. Id. at 600, 108 S.Ct. 2047. The statute at issue in Webster dealt with the CIA Director's authority to discharge an employee. According to the Supreme Court, language limiting the Director's discharge authority to circumstances "when the dismissal is necessary or advisable" would have allowed the courts to review the necessity or advisability of the discharge. See id. By contrast, the applicable statute allowed the CIA Director to discharge an employee when "the Director `shall deem such termination necessary or advisable in the interests of the United States.'" Id. (quoting former 50 U.S.C. § 403(c)) (emphasis added). The Supreme Court concluded the addition of "deem such termination necessary or advisable" provided no meaningful
Here, the statutory language granting the FDIC the authority to set a bank's minimum capital levels "in its discretion" to the level it "deems to be necessary or appropriate" tracks the language of the Webster statute, and gives us no standard to apply. See also Madigan, 14 F.3d at 1450 (noting the use of the word "deem" was particularly probative in this inquiry). ILSA's language thus commits the setting of capital levels to bank regulators' discretion.
To the limited extent it may inform our discussion of ILSA's language, the legislative history confirms our view. In enacting these provisions, Congress intended to insulate the "`independent discretion'" of bank regulators from judicial review. FDIC v. Bank of Coushatta, 930 F.2d 1122, 1126 (5th Cir.1991) (quoting S.Rep. No. 98-122, 98th Cong., 1st Sess. 16) (emphasis omitted). As the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs explained:
Bank of Coushatta, 930 F.2d at 1126 (quoting S.Rep. No. 98-122, 98th Cong., 1st Sess. 16) (emphasis added).
Contrary to Frontier's argument, this conclusion also comports with the Fifth Circuit's post-ILSA view. In Bank of Coushatta, the Fifth Circuit concluded an FDIC directive setting capital levels was unreviewable. Id. at 1129. The Bank of Coushatta court rested its conclusion on two rationales: the apparent lack of a clear and convincing statutory authorization for judicial review of the capital directive
This lack of standard is, in large part, a result of the subjectivity inherent in invested capital determinations. One function of capital is to "absorb losses which may be incurred in periods of uncertainty." First Nat'l Bank of Bellaire, 697 F.2d at 686 n. 15. The amount of capital a bank needs to weather uncertainty is a subjective judgment dependent on an informed
Yet somehow these differing views must be reconciled. While Congress could have preserved the system in which courts reconciled the differing views, it did not. To the contrary, § 3907 reflects Congress' view that banking regulators — not courts — are in the best position to judge banks' susceptibility to risk. Cf. Sunshine State Bank v. FDIC, 783 F.2d 1580, 1583-84 (11th Cir.1986) (Congress requires us to defer the opinions of bank regulators as long as their opinions are within a "zone of reasonableness"). While this choice leaves banks in the position of enduring any vicissitude attending the exercise of the regulator's discretion, Congress is permitted to prioritize the safety of the banking system over banks' interest in avoiding subjective or even harsh agency decisions.
Section 3907 of ILSA forecloses our review of the FDIC's imposition of capital requirements because it commits the setting of capital levels to the FDIC's discretion without giving us any standard to determine the correctness of the FDIC's decision.
Even if we could fabricate some standard for reviewing the FDIC's decision, it would not be likely to give banks any meaningful protection. Were we to do so, banking regulators would simply use ILSA's unreviewable capital-directive procedure to set capital levels while simultaneously using the cease-and-desist-order procedure to address other aspects of bank operation. And, for most purposes, the cease-and-desist-order procedure gives banks more procedural protection because it requires the regulator's enforcement officials to justify the capital level they seek to an ALJ and gives banks an opportunity to respond to the evidence and argument. Regulators ought not be discouraged from giving banks these heightened procedural protections.
The FDIC Board adopted the ALJ's conclusion that Frontier was exposed to excessive interest rate risk. Frontier
The ALJ found both of Frontier's interest rate risk models inadequately "quantify the market risk associated with the [l]everage [s]trategy." (ALJ's RD 22.) In particular, the ALJ found Frontier's primary interest rate risk model to be flawed because it incorporated inaccurate predictive data. Frontier quarrels with the finding and argues the ALJ should not have penalized it for using the predictive data, especially when the FDIC's examiners required it (or at least urged it) to use the data. We disagree on both scores.
Frontier's primary model of the effects of interest rate changes on the assets involved in its leverage strategy is "an internally developed earnings simulation model" (the "earnings model"). (ALJ's RD 6.) Frontier claims the model's results have been amply validated because the model is "back tested quarterly to determine accuracy" and "independently reviewed by a third party quarterly to determine whether the information being analyzed is reliable." (Id.) The third party "(1) reviews the reasonableness of the assumptions used; (2) checks the accuracy of the underlying data and supporting documentation; (3) conducts back-tests on projected earnings versus actual earnings (independent of the bank's internal back testing); and (4) recommends changes to the model." (Id. at 9.) The ALJ concluded this model was inadequate because it used inaccurate predictive data (the "Bloomberg data").
To reach this conclusion, the ALJ used Frontier's own argument against it. At the hearing before the ALJ, Frontier — not the FDIC — argued the inaccuracy of the Bloomberg data. Relying on predictions derived from the Bloomberg data, the FDIC forecasted disastrous results for Frontier's leverage strategy portfolio if interest rates rose two points. Frontier rebutted this prediction with evidence showing a two-point rise in interest rates would not result in disaster. Indeed, Frontier maintains here, as it did at trial, that the Bloomberg data produces predictions that correlate poorly with the actual performance of its leverage strategy portfolio. The ALJ agreed with Frontier but then condemned it for relying on the data; the earnings model, like the FDIC's prediction, used the Bloomberg data to predict the results of changes in interest rates on Frontier's portfolio. The ALJ further criticized Frontier for using the flawed Bloomberg data in its model for years without "refin[ing] the model to make it accurate." (ALJ's RD 26.)
Frontier now takes issue with the ALJ's criticism. Frontier argues its back-testing process demonstrated the model's accuracy despite the use of the Bloomberg data. It has a point. After all, the ALJ found Frontier back-tested the model quarterly and the variation of 3.13% between the model's prediction and actual results in the fourth quarter of 2007 was "acceptable." (ALJ's RD 9.) Indeed, there is some record
Yet we detect irony. Despite Frontier's back-testing of the earnings model, two key pieces of evidence in the record suggest Frontier's distrust of its own predictions. First, Keith Geary, Frontier's expert witness, forcefully criticized the predictive accuracy of the Bloomberg data during the hearing before the ALJ. He explained, "You can't utilize the Bloomberg defaults. They have no correlation to actual bonds' performance."
Moreover, although Frontier's back-testing might have acceptably validated the model against the interest rate changes that actually occurred during certain prior periods, it is not clear the back-testing vindicates the model's ability to adequately inform Frontier about its interest rate risk under other interest-rate change scenarios that could occur in the future. The ALJ's skepticism of the earnings model's predictive capability was therefore reasonable.
While informed and reasonable minds could differ on whether the earnings model was adequate as an interest rate modeling tool in light of Frontier's validation efforts, our task is merely to determine whether the FDIC Board's conclusion is reasonable. See Isaac, 18 F.3d at 1497. Because the record reveals adequate cause to question both the earnings model's predictive capability and Frontier's willingness to rely on it as a risk-modeling tool, the FDIC Board's conclusion is reasonable. See id.
Frontier also appeals to our sense of fairness in arguing it should not be penalized for relying, at the FDIC's insistence, on the Bloomberg data. Although the ALJ found the FDIC did not require
We recognize the inequity in the FDIC's criticisms of Frontier's interest rate risk modeling. Nevertheless, the inequity is not so egregious as to demand a remedy. There is no evidence suggesting the FDIC intended to trick Frontier or undermine its position. On the contrary, testimony suggested the change in the FDIC's position was the result of its evolving knowledge about the usefulness of the Bloomberg data in assessing the risks associated with a leverage strategy rather than improper motive. According to trial testimony, the Bloomberg data was an accepted industry standard. Frontier's expert suggested the weaknesses in the Bloomberg data were not well understood in the industry. Frontier's expert even testified about having an "aha moment" when he realized how inaccurate predictions premised on the Bloomberg data could be. (Tr. Vol. IV at 1110.) Given this evolving knowledge, it would be imprudent to allow Frontier, in the name of fairness, to continue using concededly faulty data.
Frontier also employs a second interest rate risk model provided by ALX Consulting, Inc. The ALX model includes both an economic value of earnings (EVE) component and an earnings component. "EVE represents the net present value of all asset, liability, and off-balance sheet instrument cash flows." (ALJ's RD 6 n.12.) Frontier does not validate the results from the ALX model as it does with its internal earnings model, even though, as the ALJ found, its own policies require it to do so.
The ALJ concluded there were significant issues with both the EVE and earnings components of the ALX model. Frontier does not challenge the ALJ's findings regarding the inaccuracy of the ALX model.
Frontier also contends it was not exposed to excessive interest rate risk and quarrels with the evidence the FDIC presented to demonstrate Frontier's excessive risk.
A scenario the FDIC expounded at trial suggested a hypothetical interest rate increase of two percentage points would extend Frontier's portfolio's weighted average life from 3.33 years to 11.28 years and cause a disastrous capital depreciation of nearly $82 million — 156% of Frontier's tier 1 capital. Frontier's expert called this
Frontier argues this scenario was unrealistic because it relied on the faulty Bloomberg data and unrealistic assumptions about changes in interest rates. It also points to exhibits showing similar two-point interest-rate changes in the past without the losses predicted using the Bloomberg data having occurred. And, as we have already discussed, the predictive inaccuracy of the Bloomberg data is questionable. Although the facts are fairly debatable, we are limited to determining whether the FDIC Board's conclusion is reasonable. See Isaac, 18 F.3d at 1497. Because the Board's conclusion is supported by the record testimony of the FDIC examiners, it is reasonable.
Frontier next argues the FDIC "improperly relie[d] on the Bank's declining [net interest margin] as evidence of excessive interest rate risk." (Pet. Reply Br. 22.) Frontier claims: (1) a declining net interest margin is to be expected in the context of rising interest rates, and (2) its ability to maintain a positive spread despite rising interest rates vindicates its ability to manage interest rate risk.
As one of Frontier's reports from ALX Consulting explained: "The net interest margin is an indicator of management's ability to respond to changing interest rates.... When the net interest margin is volatile, either interest rate risk is present or the balance sheet mix or pricing is not stable." (FDIC Ex. 39 at 12.)
Frontier does not contest its net interest margin "steadily declined." (ALJ RD 31.) Indeed, Frontier experienced a "51 percent decline between 2004 and 2007." (Id. at 32.) Rising interest rates are inherently challenging for a leverage strategy, and some volatility in net interest margin must therefore be expected. Nevertheless, large fluctuations in the margin — like a 51 % decline — indicate difficulty in coping with changing interest rates. The FDIC's reliance on such a significant decline in net interest margin to conclude Frontier was exposed to excessive interest rate risk is reasonable. See Isaac, 18 F.3d at 1496-97.
To the extent Frontier challenges the FDIC's order because it requires Frontier to both increase capital and decrease risk, we agree with the FDIC Board that the magnitude of overlapping risks in Frontier's execution of its leverage strategy made the FDIC's two-pronged approach to remediation reasonable.
The FDIC Board determined Frontier operated with inadequate liquidity and ordered Frontier to maintain a maximum dependency ratio of 45%. Frontier claims the Board's dependency ratio decision "is arbitrary and capricious because it is based on `expert opinions' that lack an objective factual basis." (Pet. Br. 41.) It also challenges the finding that it operated with inadequate liquidity. We are not persuaded.
Liquidity is important because it indicates "the ability to pay current debts as
The ALJ found the FDIC failed to produce any evidence to support the specific 45% dependency ratio requirement it sought to impose on Frontier. But he also found the difference between the 45% ratio the FDIC sought and the 50% ratio Frontier's own policies required to be "not particularly significant." (ALJ's RD 39.) The ALJ also found Frontier operated with a 62.36% dependency ratio, which represented significantly higher risk than the 44.56% average for American banks and the 25.66% average for banks in Frontier's peer group.
Under the applicable standard of review, the ALJ's finding need not connect exactly to the evidence; rather, the finding need only rationally relate to the evidence as a whole. See Isaac, 18 F.3d at 1497; see also Sunshine State Bank, 783 F.2d at 1581 (noting deference to an examiner's recommendation is appropriate when recommendation is within a "zone of reasonableness"). Since Frontier was using a novel and unique leverage strategy, it was reasonable for the ALJ to limit Frontier to a dependency ratio comparable to the 44.56% average of other American banks — particularly since the average dependency ratio for banks in Frontier's peer group was only 25.66%.
Frontier also challenges the finding that its liquidity was impaired by (1) use of brokered deposits,
Frontier argues brokered deposits are "stable and reliable because there are very few ways by which a brokered deposit can
The ALJ was also concerned with Frontier's use of Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) advances to fund its long-term investments; he feared they exacerbated its potential liquidity problem. According to one of the FDIC's examiners, Frontier had reached the limit of what it could borrow from the FHLB and had even used a "short term transaction to inflate [its] balance sheet for the purposes of increasing... their ability to get ... additional funding" from the FHLB.
The problem with Frontier's use of brokered deposits and FHLB advances was particularly acute because they accounted for almost 25% and 52% of Frontier's wholesale funding, respectively, with wholesale funding representing about 64% of Frontier's total liabilities. As the ALJ explained: "[i]t is easy to understand therefore why a restriction or the unavailability of one or both of these funding sources indicated a high liquidity risk." (ALJ's RD 53.) We agree. The record provides substantial support for the ALJ's conclusion as adopted by the FDIC Board. See Isaac, 18 F.3d at 1497.
Frontier also argues its liquidity crisis plan and Asset/Liability Management (ALM) policy provide a contingency funding plan, contrary to the ALJ's finding. Although the FDIC did not respond to this aspect of Frontier's argument, it is without merit. The ALJ rejected the liquidity crisis plan as "overly general." His assessment was overly kind. The so-called "Bank Liquidity Crisis Plan" in Frontier's ALM policy is simplistic, requiring only that Frontier's president be responsible for managing any liquidity crisis.
Finally, Frontier contends the FDIC Board acted arbitrarily and capriciously in concluding its management "engaged in unsafe or unsound banking practices by failing to adhere to its policies and by failing to adequately manage and mitigate interest rate risk." (Pet. Br. 49.)
Simpson v. Office of Thrift Supervision, 29 F.3d 1418, 1425 (9th Cir.1994) (quotations omitted). Because the FDIC Board determined Frontier operated with insufficient capital, failed to adequately manage interest rate risk, and failed to maintain adequate liquidity, the FDIC Board's conclusion Frontier's management engaged in unsafe or unsound practices was not arbitrary or capricious.
The petition for review is DENIED.
"Tier 1 capital ratio," as the ALJ used the term in his order, refers to the ratio of "tier 1 capital" to "adjusted total assets." 12 C.F.R. § 325.103(b)(iii); 12 C.F.R. § 165.3(c). (ALJ's RD 43.) "Adjusted total assets" refers to a particular valuation of the banking institution's assets. See 12 C.F.R. § 167.6.
Gail Otsuka Ayabe, The "Brokered Deposit" Regulation: A Response to the FDIC's and FHLBB's Efforts to Limit Deposit Insurance, 33 UCLA L.Rev. 594, 622-23 (1985) (citations omitted).
5. BANK LIQUIDITY CRISIS PLAN:
The President, or his/her designee, will be responsible for:
(Frontier State Bank Ex. 9 at 5 (2008 version); see FDIC Ex. 11 at 4-5 (2005 version).) Frontier's ALM also has another section listing other banks that could serve as sources of contingency funding and calling for annual testing. Yet neither section elaborates on the arrangements with the listed funding sources for contingency funding or describes the liquidity risk testing to be done.