INGE PRYTZ JOHNSON, District Judge.
This cause comes before the court on defendant's motions to exclude certain general causation and liability opinions offered by various plaintiffs' experts (doc. 578), and numerous briefs and evidence filed in support of and in opposition to said motions. Specifically, defendant challenges plaintiffs' designated experts Dr. Richard E. Olmstead, Dr. Curt Furberg, Dr. Shira Kramer, Dr. Antoine Bechara, Dr. Joseph Glenmullen, and Dr. Jon Wesley Boyd. In support of this motion, defendant filed one-hundred fifty-four exhibits (docs. 580 and 589), a brief titled "Introduction and Statement of Facts Relevant to all Daubert Motions" (doc. 582), and specific memoranda of points and authorities in support of its motion in regard to each of the six plaintiffs' experts they challenge under Daubert (docs. 583-588). The plaintiffs filed an "Omnibus Memorandum of Facts and Law" in opposition to defendant's motion (doc. 601), briefs in opposition to the motion in regard to each challenged expert (docs. 603-608), and approximately
The defendant's motion was set for hearing on July 24, 2012, and a hearing was held at that time at which the defendant was present by and through its counsel of record and the plaintiffs were present by and through their designated counsel of record. The court heard argument in support of the defendant's motion and in opposition to said motion from the plaintiffs. Having carefully considered all of the filed pleadings, the exhibits and other evidence, the arguments of counsel and the relevant law, the court finds as follows:
As the court set forth in its Memorandum Opinion and Order of July 23, 2012, 881 F.Supp.2d 1333, 2012 WL 3030097 (N.D.Ala.2012), this is a multidistrict product liability action concerning the drug Chantix,
According to the plaintiffs, Chantix causes depression and other psychiatric disorders, some so severe that reports of suicide and attempted suicide from Chantix use have been made. Master Consolidated Complaint, ¶¶ 31-32. The plaintiffs allege defendant either knew or should have known about such side effects, but for defendant's intentional failure to design studies which were reflective of their targeted population. Master Consolidated Complaint, ¶¶ 27-31, 33-38. The defendant denies there is any merit to such allegations, and asserts that numerous studies show the side effects of Chantix to be in line with those of other nicotine replacement therapies (NRTs), such as nicotine patches.
As well explained by the District Court of Massachusetts,
In re Neurontin Marketing, Sales Practices, and Products Liability Litigation, 612 F.Supp.2d 116, 123 (D.Mass.2009) (emphasis in original). Similarly, for purposes of the pending motion and this opinion, the court considers only whether Chantix is capable of causing the adverse neuropsychiatric events alleged.
As set forth in greater detail below, the plaintiffs' challenged experts each offer an opinion about either the reasons Chantix allegedly causes depressive or suicidal symptoms, the method by which these side effects could occur, or whether defendant should have recognized this drug had the potential to cause the alleged side effects. Defendant's challenge to each of the six experts in question can be summarized as a challenge to the expert's methodology in reaching certain conclusions, or a challenge to the reliability of those conclusions, for a variety of reasons, as set forth in detail herein.
The parties do not dispute, and the court has previously found that in November 2007 the "adverse reactions" section of the label was updated to reflect post-marketing reports of depression, agitation, changes in behavior, suicidal ideation and suicide in patients taking Chantix. See defendant ex. 2 (doc. 590-2). In January 2008 the label was again updated, this time adding a "warnings" section which reflected "[s]erious neuropsychiatric symptoms have occurred in patients being treated with Chantix." Defendant ex. 3 (doc. 590-3) at 10. The warning continued that people taking Chantix "should be observed for ... changes in behavior, agitation, depressed mood, suicidal ideation and suicidal behavior." Id. That label also warned that such symptoms had been reported in patients taking Chantix, that individuals with serious psychiatric illnesses were excluded from pre-marketing studies of Chantix, and that the safety of Chantix had not been established in individuals with such pre-existing illnesses. Id. The label was again strengthened in May 2008 to state that patients taking Chantix who develop neuropsychiatric symptoms should stop taking the drug and contact their health care provider immediately. Defendant ex. 4 (doc. 590-4) at 10.
In addition to the black box warning added in July 2009, a "Medication Guide" was added to the package inserts at the same time, to inform patients that "[s]ome people have had changes in behavior, hostility, agitation, depressed mood, and suicidal thoughts or actions while using CHANTIX ..." and that if "you [or] your family" notice such symptoms or changes in behavior, "stop taking CHANTIX and call your healthcare provider right away..." Defendant ex. 5 (doc. 590-5), at 1. The "black box warning" and the Medication Guide have remained unchanged since July 2009.
In October 2011 the FDA released a Safety Announcement which reported that the FDA reviewed two FDA-sponsored studies evaluating the risk of neuropsychiatric injury from Chantix. Defendant ex. 6 (doc. 590-6). That Announcement states
Id., at 1 of 3. That Announcement further states that "[o]verall, FDA has determined that the current warnings in the Chantix drug label, based on post-marketing surveillance reports, remain appropriate." Id., at 2 of 3.
The court ruled that the July 2009 label change is sufficient as a matter of law for warnings regarding neuropsychiatric injuries, thus the court considers the pending motion to exclude certain of plaintiffs' experts in light of its prior ruling on the label sufficiency.
Rule 702, Federal Rules of Evidence, as construed by the United States Supreme Court in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 113 S.Ct. 2786, 125 L.Ed.2d 469 (1993), requires expert scientific evidence to be both reliable and relevant pursuant to Rule 702, such that it appropriately assists the trier of fact. See e.g., United States v. Henderson, 409 F.3d 1293, 1302 (11th Cir. 2005). Rule 702 requires that such evidence or testimony "assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue." Daubert, 509 U.S. at 591, 113 S.Ct. at 2795. The Rule, in respect to all such matters, "establishes a standard of evidentiary reliability." Id., 509 U.S. at 590, 113 S.Ct. at 2795. It "requires a valid ... connection to the pertinent inquiry as a precondition to admissibility." Id., 509 U.S. at 592, 113 S.Ct. at 2796. In other words, the evidence must be relevant to issues in the case.
Where such testimony's factual basis, data, principles, methods, or application is called sufficiently into question, the trial judge must determine whether the testimony has "a reliable basis in the knowledge and experience of [the relevant] discipline." Kumho Tire Co., Ltd. v. Carmichael, 526 U.S. 137, 149, 119 S.Ct. 1167, 1175, 143 L.Ed.2d 238 (1999) (citing Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592, 113 S.Ct. 2786). Faced with a proffer of expert scientific testimony, the trial judge must determine at the outset whether the expert is proposing to testify to (1) scientific knowledge that (2) will assist the trier of fact to understand or determine a fact in issue. This entails a preliminary assessment of whether the reasoning or methodology underlying the testimony is scientifically valid and of whether that reasoning or methodology properly can be applied to the facts in issue. Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592-593, 113 S.Ct. at 2796. This primary assessment required by courts has become known as a "gatekeeping function" in which the court should admit testimony only if it is reliable and relevant. Rink v. Cheminova, Inc., 400 F.3d 1286, 1291 (11th Cir.2005).
Because the plaintiffs' experts' methodology is challenged by the current motion, the burden falls to the plaintiffs to establish that their experts' testimony will be reliable. To make this determination, the court must consider whether (1) the expert is qualified to testify competently regarding the matter he intends to address; (2) the methodology through which the expert reached his conclusion is sufficiently reliable as determined by the inquiries mandated by Daubert; and (3) the testimony will assist the trier of fact, through the application of scientific expertise, to understand the evidence or determine a fact in issue. See United States v. Douglas, 489 F.3d 1117, 1124-25 (11th Cir.
Kumho Tire Co., Ltd. v. Carmichael, 526 U.S. 137, 150, 119 S.Ct. 1167, 1175, 143 L.Ed.2d 238 (1999).
In determining the reliability of a particular scientific expert opinion, the court must consider, to the extent possible: "(1) whether the expert's theory can be and has been tested; (2) whether the theory has been subjected to peer review and publication; (3) the known or potential rate of error of the particular scientific technique; and (4) whether the technique is generally accepted in the scientific community." Quiet Tech. DC-8, Inc. v. Hurel-Dubois UK Ltd., 326 F.3d 1333, 1341 (11th Cir.2003) (citing McCorvey v. Baxter Healthcare Corp., 298 F.3d 1253, 1256 (11th Cir.2002)). "Notably, however, these factors do not exhaust the universe of considerations that may bear on the reliability of a given expert opinion, and a federal court should consider any additional factors that may advance its Rule 702 analysis." Id. (citing Kumho Tire Co., 526 U.S. at 150, 119 S.Ct. 1167). The court's focus is solely on the principles and methodology, not on the conclusions they generate. Therefore, whether the proposed testimony is scientifically correct is not a consideration for this court, but only whether or not the expert's testimony, based on scientific principles and methodology, is reliable. Allison v. McGhan Medical Corp., 184 F.3d 1300, 1312 (11th Cir.1999). A "district court's gatekeeper role under Daubert `is not intended to supplant the adversary system or the role of the jury.'" Maiz v. Virani, 253 F.3d 641, 666 (11th Cir.2001) (quoting Allison, 184 F.3d at 1311). "[V]igorous cross-examination, presentation of contrary evidence, and careful instruction on the burden of proof are the traditional and appropriate means of attacking shaky but admissible evidence." Allison, 184 F.3d at 1311 (quoting Daubert, 509 U.S. at 596, 113 S.Ct. 2786).
The correctness of an expert's conclusions is thus left to the trier of fact to determine. See e.g., U.S. v. Brown, 415 F.3d at 1267, citing U.S. v. Copeland, 20 F.3d 412, 413 (11th Cir.1994). Accordingly, a district court may not exclude an expert because it believes one expert is more persuasive than another expert. Rink, 400 F.3d at 1293. In evaluating the reliability of an expert's method, however, a district court may properly consider whether the expert's methodology has been contrived to reach a particular result. Rink, 400 F.3d at 1293; citing Joiner, 522 U.S. at 146, 118 S.Ct. at 519 (affirming exclusion of testimony where the methodology was called into question because an "analytical gap" existed "between the data and the opinion proffered").
In sum, the court may admit relevant expert testimony if it finds that (1) the expert is qualified to testify about the matters he or she intends to address; (2) the methodology used by the expert to reach his or her conclusions is sufficiently reliable;
The defendant challenges five of the contested plaintiffs' experts
Daubert offers four non-exclusive factors that courts may consider in evaluating the reliability of an expert's testimony: (1) testability; (2) error rate; (3) peer review and publication; and (4) general acceptance. 509 U.S. at 593-95, 113 S.Ct. 2786; J & V Development, Inc. v. Athens-Clarke County, 387 F.Supp.2d 1214, 1223 (M.D.Ga.2005). However, the trial court has "considerable leeway" in deciding which tests or factors to use to assess the reliability of an expert's methodology. See Kumho Tire, 526 U.S. at 150-52, 119 S.Ct. 1167.
Defendant complains that Dr. Olmstead "has no reliable basis to conclude that his analyses demonstrate a valid statistical association between Chantix and depression." See doc. 583 at 1. Specifically, the defendant asserts that Dr. Olmstead's methodology failed to account for the background risk of suicide among smokers, without consideration of Chantix, that his analyses are based on unreliable methods, and that he used a test that is not generally accepted within the scientific community. Id., at 1-2. Although defendant faults Dr. Olmstead's methods in arriving at his opinions, the defendant does not challenge Dr. Olmstead's qualifications as an expert in his field, specifically psychometrics and applied statistics, nor does defendant challenge Dr. Olmstead's claim of eighteen years experience with clinical trials involving nicotine and tobacco research.
Of the four factors suggested by Daubert for a court to consider when evaluating reliability, the defendant does not suggest that Dr. Olmstead's analysis is not testable, has a high rate of error based on the data he used, was not subjected to peer review or is not based on generally accepted methods. Rather, the defendant complains that Dr. Olmstead did not use all of the data available (doc. 583 at 5). According to the plaintiffs, Dr. Olmstead focused on the very data defendant used as its "Primary Safety Cohort." Plaintiffs' response (doc. 608), at 11, citing Summary of Clinical Safety, plaintiff ex. 000112 (doc. 609-25). Clearly, the defendant's argument goes to the weight a jury should afford Dr. Olmstead's testimony, and not its admissibility. "Vigorous cross-examination, presentation of contrary evidence, and careful instruction on the burden of proof are the traditional and appropriate means of attacking shaky but admissible evidence." Daubert, 509 U.S. at 596, 113 S.Ct. 2786.
The defendant challenges Dr. Olmstead's methodology as well, asserting that his combining of data from controlled and uncontrolled trials somehow "tainted" that data (doc. 583 at 7). Again, the argument goes to the weight of his testimony, not its admissibility. Although the defendant offers that other studies excluded the data relied on by Dr. Olmstead in counting depression-related events, the defendant may argue this on cross-examination.
The defendant also complains that Dr. Olmstead and other of plaintiffs' experts failed to consider background risk, i.e., the fact that people not trying to quit smoking also suffer from depression and/or commit suicide. However, the case defendant relies on for this proposition, In re Trasylol Products Liability Litigation, 2010 WL 4052141 (S.D.Fla.2010), actually found the expert's opinion in question there admissible, noting such issues were matters for a jury to consider. Id., at *2 The language from this case defendant cites in support of its proposition that the failure to consider background risk made expert testimony inadmissible, was quoted by the In re Trasylol court in a footnote. Id., n. 4. Specifically, the court quoted it directly from the defendant's brief, before finding such argument to be without merit.
McClain v. Metabolife Intern., Inc., 401 F.3d 1233, 1243 (11th Cir.2005) (emphasis in original). Dr. Olmstead's methodology satisfies this requirement. He states he considered the data used by defendant to reach his conclusion that "the incidence of certain neuropsychiatric symptoms including depressed mood disorders and disturbances... should have merited additional scrutiny and concern by Pfizer ..." Expert Report of Olmstead (plaintiff ex. 016189), at 6. He then sets forth the data sets considered by him, which compared side effects from Chantix to placebo for a variety of psychiatric and other disorders. Id. at 6-15. In fact, Dr. Olmstead sets forth the various methodologies he employed to calculate the increase in risk of various neuropsychiatric injuries from taking Chantix as compared to placebo. Thus, he accounted for background risk in the identical manner the defendant did.
In consideration of the foregoing, the motion to exclude is
Dr. Furberg is both a medical doctor, albeit admitted to practice in Sweden, and holds the equivalent of a Ph.D. from a Swedish University. Expert Report of Dr. Furberg, ¶ 1, submitted as plaintiff ex. 016174. More importantly, Dr. Furberg worked for the National Institute of Health ("NIH") in Maryland, including serving as the Chief of the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute of the NIH from 1979 to 1985. Id. Thereafter, he served as Professor of Medicine at Wake Forest University School of Medicine. Upon establishment of the Department of Public Health Sciences in 1989, he was appointed Chairman of it. During his tenure, that Department grew to include separate sections for Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Social Sciences and Health Policy. Dr. Furberg remains as a Professor at Wake Forest. Id., at ¶¶ 3-4. He is a past charter member of the FDA Drug Safety and Risk Management Advisory Committee, has testified as an expert on drug safety on two occasions before Congress, has authored numerous publications on clinical trials, has co-authored a text book about clinical trials and written hundreds of articles and book chapters on other topics. Id., at ¶ 6-16.
Defendant asserts this court should exclude Dr. Furberg's opinions about whether defendant misled the FDA, "similar to the district court in the Rezulin litigation. See In re Rezulin Prods. Liab. Litig., 309 F.Supp.2d 531, 543 n. 32, 560 (S.D.N.Y. 2004) (excluding Dr. Furberg's `personal opinion[s] about what standards [he] believes should apply to pharmaceutical company conduct' as speculative)." Defendant's memorandum to exclude (doc. 584) at 1. That court was considering Dr. Furberg's proposed testimony concerning what standards the FDA should impose on pharmaceutical companies, an issue not before this court. In re Rezulin, 309 F.Supp.2d at 560 (where "Dr. Furberg admitted that the efficacy data for Rezulin met FDA standards ... [b]ut he proposes to testify that the FDA should `go beyond' this criterion to require that diabetes drugs should be shown to "reduce macrovascular complications ...," holding that such testimony would not help the fact-finder to determine a fact issue in that litigation").
According to defendant's memorandum concerning Dr. Furberg, he considered primarily adverse event reports. See doc. 584 at 4. According to the plaintiffs, this is simply untrue. See plaintiffs' memorandum in opposition to defendant's motion to exclude (doc. 605), at 10, reciting a variety of studies, reports and materials considered by Dr. Furberg. According to Dr. Furberg, he considered "various clinical studies and materials" before concluding that pre-FDA approval clinical trials were small and involved carefully selected patients. Expert Report of Furberg, at ¶¶ 30-31. Specifically, Dr. Furberg opined that
Id., at ¶ 31. As Dr. Furberg explains this, by excluding the segment of the population with prior psychiatric conditions, defendant underestimated the overall risk of neuropsychiatric adverse events, causing the initial drug label to be misleading. Id. After the drug entered the market, the European regulatory agency (EMEA) informed the FDA that the EMEA had concerns over side effects of varenicline. Id., at ¶ 32. Hence, Dr. Furberg considered reports of adverse events, studies linking suicidal behavior and smoking cessation treatments, and FDA's reviews, to conclude that Chantix causes adverse neuropsychiatric symptoms such as suicidal behavior, depression, and violence. Id., at ¶¶ 33-38, 48. He asserts this "serious adverse drug effect was known to Pfizer prior to regulatory approval of varenicline by the FDA" and that Pfizer failed to inform the FDA of the same. Id., at ¶ 48.
Much of the defendant's criticism of Dr. Furberg stems from his failure to discuss matters favorable to the defendant in his expert report. For example defendant asserts Dr. Furberg "does not discuss the analysis of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) ... and its finding that the clinical trial data `does not support a causal link' between Chantix use and serious neuropsychiatric events." Defendant's memorandum (doc. 584) at 5. In support of this statement defendant cites its own Statement of Facts (doc. 582), at I.F. While defendant did state this in its Statement of Facts, omitted from the defendant's argument on this point is any recognition that the CHMP, part of the EMA, thereafter asked defendant to conduct a study in smokers with active, major depression.
The defendant asserts that "[t]o establish causation, Dr. Furberg must demonstrate a valid statistical association between Chantix and serious neuropsychiatric events." Defendant's memorandum (doc. 584), at 14. The defendant misses the point of Daubert. Plaintiffs must establish that their experts opinions "are based on sufficient facts or data" and will help the jury "to understand the evidence." Rule 702, Fed. R.Evid. What the plaintiffs do not have to do at this juncture is prove their case.
Tucker, 701 F.Supp.2d at 1055 (quoting Smith v. Ford Motor Co., 215 F.3d 713, 718 (7th Cir.2000)); accord Daubert, 509 U.S. at 595, 113 S.Ct. 2786 (court must focus on the methodology, not on the conclusions generated by the methodology). The court finds defendant seeks to have Dr. Furberg's conclusions excluded, although under the guise of objections to his methodology.
While the defendant repeatedly harps on the importance of statistically significant data, the United States Supreme Court recently stated that "[a] lack of statistically significant data does not mean that medical experts have no reliable basis for inferring a causal link between a drug and adverse events .... medical experts rely on other evidence to establish an inference of causation." Matrixx Initiatives, Inc. v. Siracusano, ___ U.S. ___, 131 S.Ct. 1309, 1319, 179 L.Ed.2d 398 (2011). The Court further recognized that courts "frequently permit expert testimony on causation based on evidence other than statistical significance." Id.; citing Wells v. Ortho Pharmaceutical Corp., 788 F.2d 741, 744-745 (11th Cir.1986). Hence, the court does not find the defendant's argument that Dr. Furberg "cannot establish a valid statistical association between Chantix and serious neuropsychiatric events" to be a persuasive reason to exclude his opinion, even if the court found the same to be true. See defendant's memorandum (doc. 584) at 13.
The Matrixx Court recognized that the FDA often considers a variety of factors in determining whether to take regulatory action, stating that the FDA "does not apply any single metric for determining when additional inquiry or action is necessary." Matrixx, 131 S.Ct. at 1320. The Court continued
Matrixx, id. The court declines to hold the plaintiffs' experts to a more exacting standard as the defendant requests.
To some extent, the defendant's arguments to exclude Dr. Furberg's opinions miss the point for which he is offered. Plaintiffs have put forth Dr. Furberg as an expert on how to conduct clinical trials, an area in which he has extensive expertise. See e.g., plaintiffs' memorandum (doc. 605), at 15-16. Defendant does not dispute his expertise in that area.
According to his report, Dr. Furberg will testify that pre-approval clinical trials for Chantix were small, with modest positive results after one year, and that individuals with psychiatric conditions were excluded from these trials, resulting in underestimating the overall risk of adverse psychiatric events. Furberg Report, at 14-15. Because of these pre-approval trial flaws, the initial drug label was misleading about possible harmful side effects to those with preexisting psychiatric conditions and, after Chantix was placed on the market, the number of reported adverse neuropsychiatric reactions was high. Id., at 15. Defendant's arguments concerning reasons to exclude Dr. Furberg, asserting he bases his opinion on uncontrolled post-marketing adverse event reports, do not reflect his opinions from his expert report. Rather, defendant directs the court back to its own Statement of Facts, wherein defendant sets forth its argument as to why uncontrolled post-marketing adverse event reports are unreliable. See defendant memorandum (doc. 584), at 14, citing SOF § II.A.4.
Defendant further argues that the court should exclude Dr. Furberg's opinions about what Pfizer "knew" or that Pfizer misled the FDA. Defendant memorandum, at 23. The court agrees, as such opinions are necessarily based on speculation. Said motion to exclude is
Defendant seeks to have the court exclude Dr. Kramer on the same grounds as Drs. Olmstead and Furberg: that she based her opinions on uncontrolled data, that she cannot establish a statistical association, that she failed to consider the principle of statistical significance, that she ignores studies that benefit defendant, and that she failed to consider the presence or absence of a dose-response relationship.
Dr. Kramer is an epidemiologist, having received a Ph.D. in the same from the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health in 1979. Expert Report of Kramer, submitted as plaintiff ex. 016185, at 6. "Epidemiology, a field that concerns itself with finding the causal nexus between external factors and disease, is generally considered to be the best evidence of causation in toxic tort actions." Rider v. Sandoz Pharmaceuticals Corp., 295 F.3d 1194, 1198 (11th Cir.2002). In Rider, the Eleventh Circuit added that "[t]his Court has long held that epidemiology is not required to prove causation in a toxic tort case." Id., at 1199; citing Wells v. Ortho Pharm.
Although she performed no independent studies of her own, Dr. Kramer considered all evidence concerning Chantix, from whatever source, and whatever result, in performing a Weight of Evidence analysis. Kramer Report, at 12. She notes that determinations about the weight of evidence are "subjective interpretations" based on "various lines of scientific evidence." Id., at 9. She also recognizes that each scientist "brings a unique set of experiences, training and expertise.... Philosophical differences exist between experts.... Therefore, it is not surprising that differences of opinion exist among scientists. Such differences of opinion are not necessarily evidence of flawed scientific reasoning or methodology, but rather differences in judgment between scientists." Id., at 11.
Based on her Weight of Evidence approach, Dr. Kramer concludes that (1) defendant designed its trials inadequately to evaluate neuropsychiatric safety; that (2) varenicline is causally associated with increased risks of adverse neuropsychiatric events; and that (3) defendant had data which reflected safety concerns with Chantix as early as 2005, before the drug was placed on the market. Kramer Report, at 19. Not surprisingly, the defendant asserts that Dr. Kramer's testimony should be excluded. Again, the defendant does not challenge Dr. Kramer's qualifications or whether her testimony will assist the trier of fact, but focuses solely on Dr. Kramer's methodology. See e.g., defendant memorandum (doc. 585) at 6. In spite of defendant's assertion otherwise, Dr. Kramer considered many of defendant's clinical trials in reaching her conclusions.
Defendant also complains that Dr. Kramer's findings are inconsistent with findings of the FDA. Defendant memorandum, at 17. Such allegations are simply
Pollack, et al., FDA Office of Surveillance and Epidemiology, Suicidality, July 16, 2008 (submitted as defendant ex. 52), at 3-6.
The defendant also claims that Dr. Kramer "ignores the importance of statistical significance." Defendant memorandum (doc. 585), at 23. For the same reasons the court found this argument not persuasive in regard to Dr. Furberg, the court does not find this argument persuasive in regard to Dr. Kramer. Additionally, here the defendant's argument is faulty for another reason. The defendant's argument assumes that Dr. Kramer relied on only uncontrolled data, but an examination of the evidence underlying her weight of evidence analysis clearly shows that she considered controlled and uncontrolled studies as well as meta-analyses and other data.
In re Prempro Products Liability Litigation, 738 F.Supp.2d 887, 892 (E.D.Ark. 2010).
The defendant's argument is flawed in two other respects. First, the defendant incorrectly asserts that "the FDA has never said that Chantix causes or increases the risk of events such as suicide or depression." Secondly, the defendant asserts "[w]here, as here, an event occurs frequently in the general population, the medical and scientific communities rely on statistical significance...." Defendant's memorandum (doc. 585), at 29. The court is unsure if the defendant is referring to suicide or depression as "an event occurring frequently."
Similarly, Dr. Rosenbraugh noted that "We really don't know what the rate of these reactions are. We think they're very rare and we don't know that there — whether there is a subgroup that is at particular risk or not and that is part of the purpose of the trial we're going to require the sponsors to do." Id. As the plaintiffs repeatedly allege, the defendant failed to screen for these types of reactions in their clinical trials, thus the greatest abundance of adverse data to date has come from doctor's observations and self-reporting. See e.g., plaintiffs' memorandum (doc. 607) at 18, and citations therein.
As to defendant's concern that Dr. Kramer was considering events which "occur[] frequently in the general population..." (defendant's memorandum (doc. 585) at 29), the court notes that neither suicide nor attempted suicide are recognized as "frequently" occurring events. Rather, as the In re Neurontin court recognized in regard to suicide, "epidemiological studies lack the statistical power needed for definitive conclusions, either because they are small or the suspected adverse effect is particularly rare." [Reference Guide on Epidemiology ], at 380; see, e.g., Giles, 500 F.Supp.2d at 1058 (noting that, "[a]s a rare event, studying [suicide] for purposes of causation requires a huge number of participants"). The technique of meta-analysis, where study results are pooled "to arrive at a single figure to represent the totality of the studies reviewed," was developed to address such situations. In re Neurontin, 612 F.Supp.2d at 126. Similarly, the court in Tucker v. SmithKline Beecham Corp. observed that
Tucker v. SmithKline Beecham Corp., 701 F.Supp.2d 1040, 1060-1061 (S.D.Ind.2010). Defendant's concerns are thus misplaced.
Similarly, although defendant accuses Dr. Kramer (and plaintiffs' other experts) of "cherry picking" data (defendant's memorandum (doc. 585) at 29-30), Dr. Kramer did no such thing. Rather, she reviewed all of the information, including the studies and trials defendant chose not to publish.
Additionally, as pointed out by the plaintiffs, defendant's attempt to isolate individual pieces of evidence as a basis to exclude all of Dr. Kramer's testimony has been rejected by other courts. See plaintiff's
Id. By extension, Dr. Kramer's weight of evidence methodology is persuasive.
Defendant also repeatedly harps on the assertion that its ongoing trials, performed at the request of the FDA, "ethically could not be performed if it were established that Chantix causes serious neuropsychiatric events." Defendant's memorandum at 32, citing its SOF § III.A.4. However, as stated earlier by the court, the FDA has required a "black box warning" on Chantix's label addressing just these types of events. See 21 C.F.R. § 201.57(c)(6)(i) (requiring revision to product label "about a clinically significant hazard as soon as there is reasonable evidence of a causal association with a drug."). And logically, was there no suspicion of a connection between Chantix and neuropsychiatric injuries, the FDA would not have required further studies of just such events.
However, for the same reasons the court set forth in its discussion of Dr. Furberg, the court will not allow Dr. Kramer to testify to what defendant "knew." Because Dr. Kramer cannot testify to what Pfizer "knew," by extension she cannot testify to any labeling changes she believes would have been appropriate based on that knowledge.
Having considered the argument of the defendant and the response of the plaintiffs, the court is of the opinion that the motion to exclude is
Dr. Glenmullen is a medical doctor, a clinical instructor in psychiatry at Harvard Medical School, has a private psychiatry practice and is Board Certified in psychiatry. Expert Report of Dr. Glenmullen (submitted as plaintiff ex. 016178), at 2. He has authored two books on the side-effects of psychiatric medications and co-authored three peer-reviewed published studies on Chantix. Id. Dr. Glenmullen is offered as a general causation expert, who plans to testify that Chantix causes "abnormal dreams, depression, suicidality, aggression, violence, and psychosis." Report of Glenmullen, at 1.
According to defendant, Dr. Glenmullen relies on the same data set as Dr. Olmstead. Defendant's memorandum (doc. 587) at 7-8. For the same reasons the court found this data a reliable basis for Dr. Olmstead's testimony, the court reaches the same conclusion here. Defendant also asserts that Dr. Glenmullen lacks any training in pharmacoviligance (defendant's memorandum (doc. 587) at 6). The plaintiffs respond that Dr. Glenmullen is a specialist in psychopharmacology.
As with plaintiffs' other expert witnesses, the defendant complains that Dr. Glenmullen did not consider the best available data.
Dr. Glenmullen opines that it is biologically plausible that Chantix can cause mild to severe psychiatric side effects in a vulnerable subset of patients and that those side effects would differ in different people.
Defendant attacks Dr. Glenmullen in piecemeal fashion, asserting he only holds a medical degree. Hence, defendant argues Dr. Glenmullen is not qualified to offer opinions about epidemiological data because he is not an epidemiologist; not qualified to offer opinions about adverse event data because he is not trained in the field of pharmacovigilence; he has no degree in pharmacology, chemistry or neuroscience, has never conducted animal or laboratory research, and never worked for a pharmaceutical company or the FDA. Defendant's memorandum (doc. 587), at 16-17. None of the above is relevant to Dr. Glenmullen's testimony.
Similarly, defendant argues that Dr. Glenmullen relied on Dr. Olmstead's statistical analysis, but then argues that Dr. Glenmullen relied on a single, uncontrolled observational study, and further complains that Dr. Glenmullen should not have relied on adverse event reports. Defendant's memorandum at 22-24. In reality, Dr. Glenmullen considered a wide variety of evidence from a wide variety of sources in reaching his opinion. The fact that defendant does not like the conclusions drawn from that evidence is not a basis for exclusion under Daubert. The court may consider only if the methodology was valid and based on reliable evidence. See e.g., Quiet Tech., 326 F.3d at 1341. The credibility or persuasiveness of those opinions is firmly within the province of the jury. Id.
Not surprisingly, the defendant dislikes Dr. Glenmullen's "biological mechanism hypotheses." Defendant's memorandum, at 28. Defendant asserts that Dr. Glenmullen's "biological mechanism hypothesis rests on a scattered list of speculative, unfounded analogies to other substances. After noting that Chantix stimulates the release of dopamine ... Dr. Glenmullen claims that `[m]any prescription and street drugs that affect dopamine can produce undesireable, often dangerous, psychiatric side effects.'" Defendant memorandum, at 29. However, defendant does not dispute either part of Dr. Glenmullen's conclusion, specifically (1) affecting dopamine can produce undesireable psychiatric side effects, and (2) Chantix is known to affect dopamine.
The defendant's motion to exclude is therefore
The defendant moves this court to exclude the opinion of Dr. Boyd on the basis that he is not qualified to offer opinions about epidemiology or drug safety. Defendant's memorandum (doc. 588), at 1. Dr. Boyd is a medical doctor with Board Certification in psychiatry. Expert Report of Boyd (plaintiff ex. 016165), at 1. He
In forming the opinions he holds regarding Chantix, Dr. Boyd considered a wide range of studies, reports, and articles. See e.g., Expert Report of Boyd, at 3-7. The defendant complains about specific studies cited by Dr. Boyd, but does so with the suggestion that those studies are all Dr. Boyd considered. See defendant's memorandum, at 3-5. Such assertion is belied by the extensive number of studies to which Dr. Boyd refers in his expert report. Report of Boyd, at 3-7. Clearly, there is extensive literature which supports Dr. Boyd's opinions that Chantix is linked to psychiatric symptoms, that pre-marketing clinical trials excluded certain individuals, and that defendant should have disclosed these exclusions at the time of marketing. Report of Boyd, at 2-3. Similarly, there are multiple studies which supports defendant's assertion that a link between Chantix and psychiatric symptoms has not been conclusively identified. See e.g., defendant's memorandum (doc. 588), at 6-13. This divergence of opinion is not a basis to exclude either point of view, but rather is a matter for a jury to consider. This court's role is only to "`ensur[e] that an expert's testimony both rests on a reliable foundation and is relevant to the task at hand.'" Kumho Tire, 526 U.S. at 141, 119 S.Ct. 1167 (quoting Daubert, 509 U.S. at 597, 113 S.Ct. 2786). See also Quiet Tech., 326 F.3d at 1344-45 (where appellant argued that the expert used incorrect data or was missing data, and such flawed the analysis, the Court held that such an attack goes more to the weight of the evidence than to its admissibility, noting that "is precisely the role of cross-examination."); In re Prempro Products Liability Litigation, 586 F.3d 547, 567 (8th Cir.2009) ("Wyeth and Upjohn had the opportunity to expose the testimony's weaknesses through vigorous cross-examination and the presentation of contrary evidence.") (citing Larson v. Kempker, 414 F.3d 936, 941 (8th Cir. 2005) (stating the factual basis of an expert opinion is assessed by the jury)); In re TMI Litig., 193 F.3d 613, 692 (3rd Cir. 1999) ("So long as the expert's testimony rests upon `good grounds,' it should be tested by the adversary process — competing expert testimony and active cross-examination — rather than excluded from jurors' scrutiny for fear that they will not grasp its complexities or satisfactory [sic] weigh its inadequacies." (quoting Ruiz-Troche v. Pepsi Cola of Puerto Rico Bottling Co., 161 F.3d 77, 85 (1st Cir.1998))); Wilmington v. J.I. Case Co., 793 F.2d 909, 920 (8th Cir.1986) ("Virtually all the inadequacies in the expert's testimony urged here by [the defendant] were brought out forcefully at trial.... These matters go to the weight of the expert's testimony rather than to its admissibility.").
The defendant also seeks to have the court exclude Dr. Boyd's opinion that Chantix causes neuropsychiatric symptoms through dopamine excess and depletion. Defendant memorandum (doc. 588), at 26-27. Dr. Boyd testified that
Boyd depo. (submitted as defendant ex. 31) at 45. Later, he states that "a continuous release of dopamine could be stimulating and could directly cause the symptoms." Id., at 336. He further explains that if "individuals who take Chantix and develop psychiatric side effects such as mania or psychosis, I would say and do say that it is the dopamine, the overabundance of dopamine that is the reason for those symptoms."
Having considered the arguments of the parties on this issue, the court finds this is more a question of why side effects could occur than whether Chantix could cause those side effects. Whether or not Chantix actually does cause those effects is left to the trier of fact. "It is axiomatic that questions regarding proximate cause are `undeniably a jury question' and may only be determined by the courts `in plain and undisputed cases.'" Sanders v. Lull Intern., Inc., 411 F.3d 1266, 1271 (11th Cir. 2005) (quoting Ontario Sewing Mach. v. Smith, 275 Ga. 683, 572 S.E.2d 533, 536 (2002)). As the plaintiffs assert, this court is not charged with determining which theory of the various experts is correct, but only ensuring that the testimony offered to the jury is reliable. See plaintiff's response (doc. 604) at 27. Dr. Boyd puts forth his dopamine depletion theory as just that, a theory. The court finds no basis on which a jury may be confused into thinking such a theory is established fact.
In consideration of the foregoing, the motion to exclude is
Unlike plaintiffs' other experts, Dr. Bechara is offered for the purpose of explaining why Chantix causes the alleged neuropsychiatric effects.
Dr. Bechara offers that Chantix causes neuropsychiatric symptoms because of dopamine depletion. Report of Bechara, at 6-7. Dr. Bechara postulates that because Chantix causes a sustained release of dopamine, there is an initial excess in the synapses, allowing more dopamine to be metabolized and leaving less available for reabsorption. Report of Bechara, at 11. According to Bechara, an excess of dopamine leads to mania type behaviors. Id. Because the brain is then using more dopamine than it is creating, dopamine deficiency ensues. Id. Dopamine deficiency is thought to be a cause of major depression. Id. Dr. Bechara further offers that similar neuropsychiatric side effects to Chantix are not seen with nicotine replacement therapy ("NRT") because NRTs utilize nicotine as opposed to a synthetic substance. Report of Bechara, at 12.
Defendant asserts that the above theory is based on cocaine and amphetamine research, and that there is no basis for attributing such a mechanism to Chantix. Defendant's memorandum, at 6-8. In fact, defendant secured an expert report from one of the dopamine depletion theory authors, who states that the theory would not
The court does not again delve into the same arguments by defendant it has addressed for each of the other challenged plaintiffs' experts. Rather, the court focuses solely on whether it will allow Dr. Bechara to testify as to his dopamine depletion theory as it relates to Chantix. The validity of the dopamine depletion theory itself is not being challenged by defendant. Rather, the application of the theory to Chantix is the focus of defendant's objections. The defendant asserts that Dr. Bechara's adaptation of this theory is extrapolated solely from animal studies, where animals given high dosages of Chantix had an increase in dopamine receptors, which would indicate dopamine depletion. See defendant's memorandum at 10-11; Report of Bechara at 13-14. Thus, in Dr. Bechara's rebuttal report (submitted as plaintiff ex. 016049), he states
Id., at 2.
Dr. Bechara's support for his theory — that an increase in dopamine receptors reflects a decrease in overall dopamine and that this is what Chantix does — is based in part on animal studies where mice and rats received doses many times in excess of what is actually used for humans. In explaining the basis for his theory, Dr. Bechara explained that
Expert Report of Bechara (plaintiff ex. 016162), at 14.
The defendant asserts that the above findings are not a basis to extrapolate to humans because Dr. Bechara cites no support for his assertion that an increase in dopamine receptors is evidence that dopamine is depleted, and because not all animal studies may be extrapolated to humans. Defendant's memorandum, at 25-26.
In deposition, Dr. Charles Dackis, defendant's expert for purposes of dopamine depletion theory, states that
Unlike Dr. Bechara, Dr. Dackis is of the opinion dopamine depletion cannot occur with varenicline. Dackis depo. at 161. He testified that "I don't think it's plausible to say that just because there is a somewhat elevated level of dopamine in the synapse that there is going to be dopamine depletion because you still have reuptake involved." Dackis depo. at 191. He further disputes Dr. Bechara's conclusion that increased dopamine would lead to increased metabolism — specifically that "increased demand for dopamine synthesis may exert a burden on the synthesizing enzyme tyrosine hydroxylase" — stating that Dr. Bechara is "reaching when he says this." Dackis depo. at 192. He adds that such a conclusion is "highly speculative and I think untrue." Id., at 193. Dr. Dackis could cite no literature which either supported or refuted Dr. Bechara's conclusions. Id., at 194. He did, however, dispute the findings of every study, article, and publication which supported Dr. Bechara on the basis that he either did not agree with it, thought others were overreaching, or, in one instance, announced the study authors were "confused" by their own findings. Dackis depo. at 195-230.
Clearly, there is debate in the scientific community as to whether Dr. Bechara's dopamine depletion theory for Chantix can explain major depression and other neuropsychiatric injuries. However, debate is not a basis for exclusion. Reversing a district court for just such a mistake, the First Circuit explained:
Milward v. Acuity Specialty Products Group, Inc., 639 F.3d 11, 22 (1st Cir.2011). See also Kuhn v. Wyeth, Inc., 686 F.3d 618, 625-26 (8th Cir.2012) ("Proponents of expert testimony need not demonstrate that the assessments of their experts are correct, and trial courts are not empowered `to determine which of several competing scientific theories has the best provenance.'") (citing Milward, 639 F.3d at 15); Ambrosini v. Labarraque, 101 F.3d 129, 134 (D.C.Cir.1996) ("Even if the burden placed on the `gatekeeper' may seem heavy at times, see, e.g., Daubert, 509 U.S. at 600-01, 113 S.Ct. at 2800 ... there is nothing in Daubert to suggest that judges become scientific experts, much less evaluators of the persuasiveness of an expert's conclusion. Rather, once an expert has
Hence, the court is of the opinion that Dr. Bechara may testify as to his theory, Dr. Dackis may testify as to why Dr. Bechara's theory is mistaken, and the trier of fact may determine which of these dueling experts' conclusions is more correct.
The court next turns to the defendant's other contention, that not all animal studies may be extrapolated to humans. Defendant's memorandum (doc. 586), at 26-27. Dr. Dackis stated that he was not aware of any data on humans showing "what dopamine does in response to Varenicline treatment, whether it's acute or steady." Dackis depo. at 163. He asserted that the applicability of rat studies to humans was limited. As to this type assertion, the Sixth Circuit has ruled
Turpin v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 959 F.2d 1349, 1360 (6th Cir.1992). More recently, another district court held that
In re Zicam Cold Remedy Marketing, Sales Practices, and Products Liability Litigation, 2011 WL 798898, *8-9 (D.Ariz. 2011). Hence, nothing inherent in the fact that these studies were conducted on animals requires this court to exclude either the studies or the extrapolations therefrom. Rather, this again is a basis for cross-examination.
Defendant further argues that biological plausibility is not proof of causation. Defendant's memorandum, at 17. Absent is any argument that the plaintiff must prove the biological means of injury, because no
Having considered the foregoing, the court will allow Dr. Bechara to testify about the increase in dopamine receptors in rats following administration of high doses of Chantix. The defendant may cross-examine on this subject. Hence, the defendant's motion is
Dose-response relationship refers to the concept that the greater the exposure, the greater the risk of disease from that exposure. See Reference Guide on Epidemiology (3rd ed.), at 603.
However, as addressed by plaintiffs' counsel at oral argument, evidence of a dose-response relationship does exist, and is included in their experts' reports and testimony. The fact that reports of depression did not increase with a higher dose of Chantix is less concerning in the numerous studies this court has examined than the number of dechallenge-rechallenge reports also contained in the literature, and which are also evidence of a dose-response relationship. The court in In re Accutane recognized the limits of the study relied on by the expert in question there, stating, "[h]e also has no explanation as to why his conclusion differs from the conclusion of the study itself, to wit: there is a dosage threshold below which there is no adverse effect once the drug is withdrawn." Id., 511 F.Supp.2d at 1294. The expert testimony before this court has no similar shortcomings.
Similarly, the inability of the experts to identify how long an individual must take Chantix for the adverse effects to occur, or to identify to whom they will occur, are not bases for exclusion of these experts' opinions. The court notes only that these are issues more akin to specific causation, i.e. that Chantix did in fact cause a particular plaintiff's injury.
Defendant seeks to exclude plaintiffs' experts from testifying that the Chantix label was inadequate in anyway. This portion of the defendant's motion is directed specifically to proposed testimony of Dr. Kramer and Dr. Glenmullen. For the reasons set forth in defendant's memorandum in support of its motion to exclude the testimony of Dr. Kramer (doc. 585), the motion to exclude is
The defendant also seeks to have this court bar Dr. Glenmullen from testifying as to his opinion that the Chantix label was misleading because it did not disclose the number of patients who experienced psychiatric side effects after taking Chantix, and did not list other known side effects of Chantix. As stated previously, the court will not allow any of the plaintiffs' experts to testify to what defendant "knew." However, this is not the same as opinions on what defendant "should have known." Plaintiffs' experts may testify as to what defendant should have known and, by extension, what defendant should have disclosed on its label.
Clearly, the evidence before the court supports a reasonable jury being able to find that defendant should have known, prior to July 1, 2009, that Chantix was suspected of causing various neuropsychiatric injuries, and in fact had numerous reports of the same before it. See e.g., plaintiffs' exhibits 000751; 000875; 000891; 001266; 001430; 001461; 001715 001839 (stating "[w]hen you concede that your drug has these very serious side effects, such as suicide, the game is up in the area of public safety"); 001949; 001978; 002090; 002144; 002184 (noting number of adverse event reports); 002585 (in email from FDA stating "[t]he phrase `While it is not known whether they are directly related to the use of the drug' was deleted because we don't want to be overly reassuring and there were at least some cases that appeared to be clearly related to use of Chantix and not to nicotine withdrawal or some other factor").
For the reasons set forth herein, it is
In accordance with the memorandum opinion entered this day;
It is ORDERED by the court that the defendant's motion for summary judgment (doc. 590) is hereby
In re Neurontin, 612 F.Supp.2d at 126.
In re Neurontin, 612 F.Supp.2d at 127.
Plaintiffs' ex. 004017.
Rider, 295 F.3d at 1201. Here, neither Dr. Kramer nor the court has "relied" on the FDA's action. Rather, it is but one piece of evidence that the plaintiffs' expert has used to support her conclusions. In Rider, the court was faced with evidence that attempted to analogize the injury suffered to other compounds, not the drug in question itself. See id. ("The district court, after a detailed review of the properties of ergot alkaloids, concluded that plaintiffs failed to come forward with even a theory as to why the mechanism that causes some ergot alkaloids to act as vasoconstrictors would more probably than not be the same mechanism by which bromocriptine acts to cause vasoconstriction.").
Hollander v. Sandoz Pharmaceuticals Corp., 289 F.3d 1193, 1211-1212 (10th Cir.2002).