BALDOCK, Circuit Judge.

Did Defendant Damian L. Brooks commit enough prior qualifying felonies to be considered a "career offender" under the Federal Sentencing Guidelines? The district court below said yes, relying on United States v. Hill, 539 F.3d 1213 (10th Cir.2008), to classify a prior Kansas conviction of Defendant as a felony because it was punishable by more than one year in prison. On appeal, Defendant admits Hill mandates this classification. He argues, however, that Hill was abrogated by the Supreme Court in Carachuri-Rosendo v. Holder, 560 U.S. 563, 130 S.Ct. 2577, 177 L.Ed.2d 68 (2010). We agree. As such, exercising jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. § 1291 and 18 U.S.C. § 3742, we reverse and remand for resentencing.

I.

A. Kansas Sentencing Guidelines

Kansas's rather unusual criminal sentencing scheme lies at the heart of the current dispute. While we now abandon Hill's holding, we do not quibble with Hill's description of Kansas's sentencing parameters. In general, Kansas criminal statutes do not contain explicit maximum penalties (e.g. "Burglary is punishable by no more than ten years...."). See, e.g., Kan. Stat. Ann. § 21-6201 (2010). Instead,

Hill, 539 F.3d at 1215-16 (internal quotation marks, citations, and footnote omitted).

B. Federal Sentencing Guidelines

Under § 4B1.1(a) of the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines Manual (U.S.S.G.), a defendant is considered a "career offender" if, among other things, he "has at least two prior felony convictions of either a crime of violence or a controlled substance offense." The U.S.S.G. commentary later defines "[p]rior felony conviction" as "a prior adult federal or state conviction for an offense punishable by ... imprisonment for a term exceeding one year, regardless of whether such offense is specifically designated as a felony and regardless of the actual sentence imposed." U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2 cmt. app. n. 1 (emphasis added).

C. Precedent

In 2005 we decided United States v. Plakio, 433 F.3d 692 (10th Cir.2005), which required us to determine whether a defendant's prior Kansas drug conviction qualified under U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A) as a "felony"; that is, whether the offense was "punishable by ... imprisonment for a term exceeding one year." Plakio, 433 F.3d at 693-94 (quoting U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1 cmt. app. n. 1). Under Kansas's sentencing scheme, the defendant could have received eleven months in prison at most. Id. at 695. Reversing the district court, we held this conviction was not a felony "[b]ecause the [state] sentencing court could not have imposed a sentence greater than one year." Id. "Central to the Plakio decision was the premise that the maximum sentence must be calculated by focusing on the particular defendant," taking his criminal history category (under Kansas law) into account. Hill, 539 F.3d at 1217 (citing Plakio, 433 F.3d at 697).

Three years later, the Supreme Court issued United States v. Rodriquez, 553 U.S. 377, 128 S.Ct. 1783, 170 L.Ed.2d 719 (2008). Soon after, we decided Hill, 539 F.3d 1213. Much like Plakio, Hill required us to determine whether a defendant's prior Kansas firearm conviction qualified as a "crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year" — this time under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). Hill, 539 F.3d at 1214. Also like Plakio, under Kansas's sentencing scheme the defendant could have received no more than eleven months in prison. Id. Initially, under our Plakio approach, we held the defendant was not convicted of a "crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year." Id. at 1213-14, 1218. After Rodriquez was released, however, we granted panel rehearing and vacated our prior opinion. Id. Rodriquez, we held, "explicitly rejected the proposition that mandatory guidelines systems that cap sentences [like Kansas's system] can decrease the maximum term of imprisonment." Id. at 1218 (quoting Rodriquez, 553 U.S. at 390, 128 S.Ct. 1783) (internal quotation marks omitted). Relying on Rodriquez, we overturned Plakio and held the proper focus in regard to the language in question is on the crime itself, not the individual defendant. Id. at 1221. "A defendant convicted of a severity level VIII crime with a more extensive criminal history does not commit a different crime," we emphasized. "Instead, he is simply exposed to a greater sentence under the guidelines." Id. at 1219. Thus, we held that when analyzing whether a defendant's prior crime was punishable by a certain amount of prison time under Kansas's scheme, the largest possible recidivist enhancement must be taken into account. Id. at 1221. And, because the severity level of Hill's crime cross-referenced with the worst criminal history possible carried a maximum penalty of twenty-three months in jail, we concluded he was convicted of "a crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year." Id. (quoting 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1)).

In 2010, the Supreme Court issued Carachuri-Rosendo, 560 U.S. 563, 130 S.Ct. 2577. There the defendant was a lawful permanent resident being removed from the United States because of two prior Texas drug misdemeanor convictions — one in 2004 and one in 2005. Id. at 566, 570-71, 130 S.Ct. 2577. For the 2005 crime, which involved possession of a single Xanax tablet sans prescription, the defendant was sentenced to just ten days in jail. Id. In Texas, however, he could have been subject to a major sentencing enhancement because of the 2004 conviction — an enhancement that would have exposed him to more than one year in prison — but only if the prosecution proved the prior conviction. Id. at 570-71, 130 S.Ct. 2577. The State did not elect to offer such proof. Id. at 571, 130 S.Ct. 2577. Regardless, the Federal Government in Carachuri-Rosendo contended the defendant was not eligible for cancellation of removal or waiver because the 2005 offense qualified as an "aggravated felony" under the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), a determination that ultimately hinged on whether the crime allowed for a "maximum term of imprisonment" of "more than one year." Id. at 566-67, 130 S.Ct. 2577 (quoting 8 U.S.C. § 1229b(a)(3) and 18 U.S.C. § 3559(a)). The Government theorized that, "had Carachuri-Rosendo been prosecuted in federal court instead of state court [for the 2005 offense], he could have been prosecuted as a felon and received a 2-year sentence based on the ... [2004] offense." Id. at 570, 130 S.Ct. 2577 (emphasis in original).

In its decision, the Supreme Court first expressed wariness of the Government's argument because "the English language tells us that most aggravated felonies are punishable by sentences far longer than 10 days...." Id. at 575, 130 S.Ct. 2577. The Supreme Court then rejected the Government's "hypothetical approach" because it: (1) ignored the INA's text, which "indicates that we are to look at the conviction itself ... not to what might or could have been charged"; (2) would punish a defendant for recidivism without providing him notice or opportunity to contest said recidivism and would "denigrate the independent judgment of state prosecutors" who chose not to prove recidivism; (3) depends on a misreading of Lopez v. Gonzales, 549 U.S. 47, 127 S.Ct. 625, 166 L.Ed.2d 462 (2006), which did not go so far as to permit the reliance on a "hypothetical to a hypothetical"; (4) was inconsistent with common federal court practice, whereby the defendant "would not, in actuality, have faced any felony charge"; and (5) failed to construe an ambiguity in an immigration-related criminal statute in the noncitizen's favor. Id. at 575-81, 130 S.Ct. 2577. In conclusion, the Supreme Court stated: "The prosecutor in Carachuri-Rosendo's [Texas] case declined to charge him as a recidivist. He has, therefore, not been convicted of a felony punishable [by more than one year in prison] under the Controlled Substances Act." Id. at 582, 130 S.Ct. 2577.

Significantly, the Supreme Court also dismissed the argument that Rodriquez supported the Government. Rodriquez, the Court clarified, "held that a recidivist finding could set the `maximum term of imprisonment,' but only when the finding is a part of the record of conviction." Id. at 577 n. 12, 130 S.Ct. 2577. Indeed, the Court noted,

Id. (internal citations omitted).

D. Facts

In December 2009, a Kansas state court convicted Defendant of possessing cocaine with intent to sell and sentenced him to 40 months in jail. Around the same time, Defendant was convicted in a Kansas state court of eluding a police officer. For this latter crime, Defendant's presumptive Kansas guideline range allowed for a maximum of seven months of jail time. The prosecutor did not seek an upward departure, meaning the state court could not have sentenced Defendant to more than seven months imprisonment. In the end, the court imposed a six month sentence.

On May 8, 2012, Defendant pled guilty in the federal District of Kansas to possessing with intent to distribute cocaine base in violation of 21 U.S.C. § 841(a)(1), and to using and carrying a firearm in furtherance of a drug trafficking offense in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 924(c). Prior to sentencing, the United States Probation Office concluded in its Presentence Report (PSR) that Defendant was a "career offender" under U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(a) because, among other requirements not at issue here, he had "at least two prior felony convictions of either a crime of violence or a controlled substance offense." Namely, the PSR counted Defendant's prior cocaine distribution conviction as a felony controlled substance offense and his prior eluding conviction as a felony crime of violence. This career offender categorization added two points to Defendant's offense level, giving him a total offense level of 31. This, combined with his criminal history category, produced a guideline range of 262 to 327 months in prison.

Defendant objected to his career offender classification, arguing that eluding a police officer, while indeed a crime of violence, was not a federal felony in this instance because it was not "punishable by... imprisonment for a term exceeding one year." For support, Defendant relied on Carachuri-Rosendo, which he argued had implicitly invalidated Hill and Hill's reliance on the "hypothetical worst recidivist" to determine the length of imprisonment for which a crime was punishable. Because the Kansas prosecution never sought an upward departure in regard to Defendant's conviction for eluding a police officer, the crime only subjected him to a maximum of seven months in prison. Thus, Defendant asserted, it was not a felony under the federal sentencing strictures. In response, the Government stood by Hill; eluding a police officer was punishable by over one year in prison because a defendant with the worst criminal history possible could have received up to 17 months in jail for committing the crime. Both parties agreed this issue should not be covered by the waiver of appeal in Defendant's plea agreement, and the district court acknowledged the parties' unity on this point.

Eventually, after a hearing, the district court overruled Defendant's objection in a written order. The court acknowledged two circuits had "held that in light of Carachuri-Rosendo, hypothetical aggravating factors cannot be considered when determining a defendant's maximum punishment for a prior offense." See United States v. Simmons, 649 F.3d 237 (4th Cir. 2011) (en banc); United States v. Haltiwanger, 637 F.3d 881 (8th Cir.2011). The court, however, denied having the authority to ignore Hill because the case was not "clearly irreconcilable" on its face with Carachuri-Rosendo. For support on this point, the court noted that six circuit judges dissented in Simmons and Haltiwanger combined.

At sentencing, the district court departed downward based on the plea agreement and sentenced Defendant to 151 months imprisonment on both counts combined. Had the career offender enhancement not been applied, the guideline imprisonment range would have been 121 to 151 months. Defendant appealed.

II.

Defendant's sole argument on appeal is that, in light of Carachuri-Rosendo, the district court wrongfully relied upon our past precedent in Hill to label him a career offender under U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(a). Absent en banc consideration, we generally "cannot overturn the decision of another panel of this court." United States v. Meyers, 200 F.3d 715, 720 (10th Cir.2000). This rule does not apply, however, when the Supreme Court issues an intervening decision that is "contrary" to or "invalidates our previous analysis." Id.; United States v. Shipp, 589 F.3d 1084, 1090 n. 3 (10th Cir.2009) (citation omitted). Thus, we must now determine whether Carachuri-Rosendo contradicts or invalidates Hill's prescribed method for determining the maximum punishment length for a past state crime. This issue is entirely legal in nature, and we review legal issues in this context de novo. United States v. Patterson, 561 F.3d 1170, 1172 (10th Cir.2009). In the end, we hold that Carachuri-Rosendo does indeed invalidate Hill's analysis.

We acknowledge up front that Carachuri-Rosendo is not directly on point with Hill or with our Defendant. After all, Carachuri-Rosendo involved immigration law, a different line of Supreme Court precedent, see, e.g., Lopez, 549 U.S. 47, 127 S.Ct. 625, and whether a past crime was an aggravated felony, among various other distinguishable aspects.2 The question, however, is not whether an intervening Supreme Court case is on all fours with our precedent, but rather whether the subsequent Supreme Court decision contradicts or invalidates our prior analysis. Here, Carachuri-Rosendo plainly invalidates Hill, primarily because of the Supreme Court's clarification of the holding of its own precedent — Rodriquez. As detailed above, the Supreme Court rejected the argument that Rodriquez's recidivism holding supported the Government's "hypothetical to a hypothetical" approach. Carachuri-Rosendo, 560 U.S. at 577 n. 12, 130 S.Ct. 2577. In doing so, the Supreme Court expounded upon Rodriquez in a manner entirely contradictory to our interpretation of that case in Hill.

In Hill, we relied on Rodriquez to overturn our own prior precedent. Rodriquez, we wrote, stood for the proposition that "the calculation of the `maximum term of imprisonment ... prescribed by law' included the term imposed by applicable recidivist statutes." Hill, 539 F.3d at 1218 (quoting Rodriquez, 553 U.S. at 393, 128 S.Ct. 1783). Moreover, we held, Rodriquez "explicitly rejected the proposition that mandatory guidelines systems that cap sentences [like Kansas's system] can decrease the maximum term of imprisonment." Id. (quoting Rodriquez, 553 U.S. at 390, 128 S.Ct. 1783) (internal quotation marks omitted). The Supreme Court in Carachuri-Rosendo, however, wrote that under Rodriquez a recidivist finding could only set the maximum term of imprisonment "when the finding is a part of the record of conviction." Carachuri-Rosendo, 560 U.S. at 577 n. 12, 130 S.Ct. 2577 (emphasis added). Riffing on the facts of Rodriquez, the Court stated: "[W]hen the recidivist finding giving rise to a [prior] 10-year sentence is not apparent from the sentence itself, or appears neither as part of the `judgment of conviction' nor the `formal charging document,' the Government will not have established that the defendant had a prior conviction for which the maximum term of imprisonment was 10 years or more...." Id. (internal citation omitted). In short, in Hill we interpreted Rodriquez to mean the most severe recidivist increase possible always applies when calculating a maximum sentence, whereas the Supreme Court has now interpreted Rodriquez to mean a recidivist increase can only apply to the extent that a particular defendant was found to be a recidivist. This makes all the difference in the world to our Defendant, who was saddled by the district court with the guideline range merited by the worst recidivist imaginable even though his own recidivism did not allow for imprisonment of more than one year. Under Rodriquez via Hill Defendant is a career offender; under Rodriquez via Carachuri-Rosendo, he is not.

Based on Carachuri-Rosendo, our interpretation of Rodriquez in Hill was incorrect. This incorrect interpretation was pivotal to our holding in Hill that, in determining whether a prior Kansas crime was punishable by more than a year in prison, we must "focus on the maximum statutory penalty for the offense, not the individual defendant." Hill, 539 F.3d at 1221 (emphasis added).3 Thus, we must reverse the district court here and hold that Carachuri-Rosendo contradicts and invalidates Hill. Under Kansas law, Defendant could not have been sentenced to more than seven months in jail for his eluding conviction. That conviction, therefore, did not qualify as an "offense punishable by ... imprisonment for a term exceeding one year." U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2 cmt. app. n. 1. As such, Defendant should not have been labeled a career offender under the Guidelines because he only had one "prior felony conviction[] of either a crime of violence or a controlled substance offense," whereas two such convictions are required. Id. § 4B1.1(a). To summarize, Hill no longer controls, and we revert back to our prior precedent on this point.4

III.

The case law surrounding this issue strongly supports our holding. Most importantly (as noted above) two circuits have already analyzed Carachuri-Rosendo's effect in this regard, and both have agreed with our conclusion. Moreover, they have done so at the prompting of the Supreme Court.

The initial case comes from the Eighth Circuit and bears a striking resemblance to our situation. In Haltiwanger, the district court found a defendant's prior drug tax stamp conviction under 21 U.S.C. 841(b)(1) was a felony even though — under Kansas law, again — he could only have received seven months in jail. See United States v. Haltiwanger, No. CR07-4037, 2009 WL 454978, at *5 (N.D.Iowa Feb. 23, 2009) (unpublished). The Eighth Circuit, prior to Carachuri-Rosendo, agreed. See United States v. Haltiwanger, 356 Fed.Appx. 918 (8th Cir.2009) (per curiam) (unpublished). The Supreme Court, however, granted certiorari and remanded the case, without opinion, "for further consideration in light of Carachuri-Rosendo." Haltiwanger v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, 131 S.Ct. 81, 178 L.Ed.2d 2 (2010). On remand, "[u]pon careful review of Carachuri-Rosendo, including the Court's clarification and reiteration of its holding in Rodriquez," the Eighth Circuit reversed course: "[W]here a maximum term of imprisonment of more than one year is directly tied to recidivism, Carachuri-Rosendo and Rodriquez require that an actual recidivist finding — rather than the mere possibility of a recidivist finding — must be part of a particular defendant's record of conviction for the conviction to qualify as a felony." Haltiwanger, 637 F.3d at 883-84. Because Haltiwanger's record of conviction did not include recidivism sufficient to expose him to more than one year in prison, "the hypothetical possibility that some recidivist defendants could have faced a sentence of more than one year is not enough to qualify Haltiwanger's conviction as a felony under 21 U.S.C. § 841(b)(1)." Id. at 884. Judge Beam dissented, writing only: "I believe that our judgment in this case is not affected by Carachuri-Rosendo." Id.

Several months after the Eighth Circuit's about-face in Haltiwanger, an en banc Fourth Circuit panel confronted the same issue. There, the district court had originally classified a defendant's prior North Carolina drug conviction as a felony under 21 U.S.C. § 841(b)(1) even though he could have received at most eight months community service. Simmons, 649 F.3d at 239-41.5 On appeal, prior to Carachuri-Rosendo, the Fourth Circuit affirmed. See United States v. Simmons, 340 Fed.Appx. 141 (4th Cir.2009) (unpublished). Like Haltiwanger, the Supreme Court granted certiorari and remanded the case, without opinion, "for further consideration in light of Carachuri-Rosendo." Simmons v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, 130 S.Ct. 3455, 177 L.Ed.2d 1048 (2010). On remand, the same panel concluded Carachuri-Rosendo did not implicate its prior analysis. See United States v. Simmons, 635 F.3d 140 (4th Cir.2011). After en banc rehearing, however, the Fourth Circuit also reversed course. According to an eight-judge majority, the Fourth Circuit precedent holding similarly to Hill — United States v. Harp, 406 F.3d 242 (4th Cir. 2005) — was no longer good law under Carachuri-Rosendo. See Simmons, 649 F.3d at 239-50. Explicitly tracking Haltiwanger, the Fourth Circuit held that "`where a maximum term of imprisonment ... is directly tied to recidivism,' the `actual recidivist finding ... must be part of a particular defendant's record of conviction for the conviction to qualify as a felony.'" Id. at 244 (quoting Haltiwanger, 637 F.3d at 884). Five dissenters found the Simmons majority's holding to be "contrary to the plain language of the relevant statutes," which differed "in critical respects" from the immigration statutes at issue in Carachuri. Id. at 250, 253. More specifically, this dissent argued the phrase "offense punishable by more than one year imprisonment" clearly calls for an offense-specific analysis rather than a defendant-specific analysis. Id. at 258. "As such," the dissent concluded, "we [should] follow the mandate of Congress to look to the maximum authorized punishment for any defendant convicted of the offense." Id. (emphasis added).

Although we are not unsympathetic to the dissent's appeal to plain language, we are not analyzing this case in a vacuum. Rather, Supreme Court precedent binds us. And we simply cannot ignore Carachuri-Rosendo's unambiguous clarification of Rodriquez that directly contradicts our view of Rodriquez in Hill.6 We also cannot ignore the Supreme Court's subsequent remands to the Fourth and Eighth Circuits with instruction to analyze markedly similar issues "in light of Carachuri-Rosendo." Certainly, such remands are not "final determination[s] on the merits" by the Supreme Court. Tyler v. Cain, 533 U.S. 656, 666 n. 6, 121 S.Ct. 2478, 150 L.Ed.2d 632 (2001). They do, however, indicate the Supreme Court believes there is a "reasonable probability" these circuits "would reject a legal premise on which [they] relied...." Id.

Finally, our present holding also comports with the Sixth Circuit's decision in United States v. Pruitt, 545 F.3d 416 (6th Cir.2008). While Pruitt pre-dates Carachuri-Rosendo, both the Fourth and Eighth Circuits noted that Carachuri-Rosendo "essentially ratified the Sixth Circuit's understanding of Rodriquez." Haltiwanger, 637 F.3d at 884; see Simmons, 649 F.3d at 244 ("[T]he Sixth Circuit's analysis [in Pruitt] now seems clearly correct given the Supreme Court's subsequent ruling in Carachuri."). The Sixth Circuit in Pruitt held, in regard to whether prior North Carolina convictions made a defendant a career offender under U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(a), that in light of Rodriquez courts must "consider the defendant's particular prior record level — and not merely the worst [possible] prior record level — in determining whether a conviction was for an offense `punishable' by a term exceeding one year." Pruitt, 545 F.3d at 424. Thus, in essence, three circuits have agreed with our Defendant, whereas none have agreed with the Government.7

IV.

In conclusion, Hill — which looked to the hypothetical worst possible offender to determine whether a state offense was punishable by more than a year in prison — cannot stand in light of Carachuri-Rosendo. We now hold, in line with our pre-Hill precedent, that in determining whether a state offense was punishable by a certain amount of imprisonment, the maximum amount of prison time a particular defendant could have received controls, rather than the amount of time the worst imaginable recidivist could have received. As such, Defendant's prior Kansas conviction for eluding police is not a felony for purposes of U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(a). The district court's imposition of a career offender enhancement was therefore in error and is REVERSED. This case is REMANDED for resentencing.

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