GORSUCH, Circuit Judge.
Executive agencies today are permitted not only to enforce legislation but to revise and reshape it through the exercise of so-called "delegated" legislative authority. Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 467 U.S. 837, 865-66, 104 S.Ct. 2778, 81 L.Ed.2d 694 (1984). The number of formal rules these agencies have issued thanks to their delegated legislative authority has grown so exuberantly it's hard to keep up. The Code of Federal Regulations now clocks in at over 175,000 pages. And no one seems sure how many more hundreds of thousands (or maybe millions) of pages of less formal or "sub-regulatory" policy manuals, directives, and the like might be found floating around these days. For some, all this delegated legislative activity by the executive branch raises interesting questions about the separation of powers. See, e.g., Dep't of Transp. v. Ass'n of Am. R.Rs., ___ U.S. ___, 135 S.Ct. 1225, 1240-42, 191 L.Ed.2d 153 (2015) (Thomas, J., concurring in the judgment); id. at 1237 (Alito, J., concurring); see also De Niz Robles v. Lynch, 803 F.3d 1165, 1171 & n. 5 (10th Cir. 2015). For others, it raises troubling questions about due process and fair notice — questions like whether and how people can be fairly expected to keep pace with and conform their conduct to all this churning and changing "law." See, e.g., The Federalist No. 62, at 381 (James Madison) (Clinton Rossiter ed., 1961) ("It will be of little avail to the people, that the laws are made by men of their own choice, if the laws be so voluminous that they cannot be read, or so incoherent that they cannot be understood;... or undergo such incessant changes that no man, who knows what the law is to-day, can guess what it will be to-morrow."). But what if the problem is even worse than that? What happens if we reach the point where even these legislating
That's the problem we confront in this case. And perhaps it comes as little surprise that it arises in the Medicare context. Medicare is, to say the least, a complicated program. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) estimates that it issues literally thousands of new or revised guidance documents (not pages) every single year, guidance providers must follow exactingly if they wish to provide health care services to the elderly and disabled under Medicare's umbrella. Currently, about 37,000 separate guidance documents can be found on CMS's website — and even that doesn't purport to be a complete inventory. See Jessica Mantel, Procedural Safeguards for Agency Guidance: A Source of Legitimacy for the Administrative State, 61 Admin. L. Rev. 343, 353 (2009).
But how did CMS wind up confused about its own law? It began this way. Caring Hearts provides physical therapy and skilled nursing services to "homebound" Medicare patients. 42 U.S.C. § 1395f(a). Of course, any Medicare provider may only charge the government for services that are "reasonable and necessary." Id. § 1395y(a)(1)(A). But Congress hasn't exactly been clear about who qualifies as homebound or what services qualify as reasonable and necessary. So CMS has developed its own rules on both subjects — rules the agency has (repeatedly) revised and expanded over time. In a recent audit, CMS purported to find that Caring Hearts provided services to at least a handful of patients who didn't qualify as "homebound" or for whom the services rendered weren't "reasonable and necessary." As a result, CMS ordered Caring Hearts to repay the government over $800,000.
The trouble is, in reaching its conclusions CMS applied the wrong law. As we'll see, the agency didn't apply the regulations in force in 2008 when Caring Hearts provided the services in dispute. Instead, it applied considerably more onerous regulations the agency adopted only years later. Regulations that Caring Hearts couldn't have known about at the time it provided its services. Regulations that even CMS concedes bore only prospective effect. See 42 U.S.C. § 1395hh(e)(1)(A). And as we'll see, Caring Hearts can make out a pretty good case that its services were entirely consistent with the law as it was at the time they were rendered. So this isn't (and never was) a case about willful Medicare fraud. Instead, it's a case about an agency struggling to keep up with the furious pace of its own rulemaking.
So what to do? Caring Hearts says we can find a way out through 42 U.S.C. § 1395pp. In seeming recognition of the complexity of the Medicare maze, Congress there indicated that providers who didn't know and couldn't have reasonably been expected to know that their services weren't permissible when rendered generally don't have to repay the amounts they received from CMS. A sort of good faith affirmative defense, if you will. Of course, in administrative proceedings CMS rejected Caring Hearts's application for relief under § 1395pp. But in doing so, the agency held that the firm knew or should've known its conduct was unlawful only in light of regulations that were then but figments of the rulemakers' imagination, still years away from adoption. And Caring Hearts submits this means we should vacate the agency's decision, just as we would any other that rests on a mistake about applicable law.
With this we agree. For surely one thing no agency can do is apply the wrong law to citizens who come before it, especially when the right law would appear to support the citizen and not the agency.
Take first the cases where CMS says Caring Hearts provided care to individuals who weren't homebound. Here's a typical example, involving a patient known in our record as L.Sm. At the time Caring Hearts provided L.Sm. with home health services he was 85 years old, weighed 352 pounds, and suffered from diabetes, high blood pressure, and a host of other ailments. By all accounts he could not easily walk 20 feet and, while he sometimes used a walker or cane, he more or less "lived" in a wheelchair. Despite these documented facts, CMS adopted the ALJ's judgment that L.Sm. wasn't homebound and Caring Hearts could not have reasonably thought otherwise. In support of its conclusion the agency reasoned that "the evidence does not establish ... that leaving his home would require considerable and taxing effort." ALJ Op. at 46 (App. Vol. 2 at 338). And it's surely true that CMS's current regulations state that for a patient to qualify as homebound he must "normal[ly]" be unable "to leave home" even with a wheelchair and any attempt to leave home must also "require a considerable and taxing effort." Medicare Benefit Policy Manual (MBPM), Pub. No. 100-02, Ch. 7, § 30.1.1 (Rev. 208, May 11, 2015). For purposes of this appeal, too, we spot CMS the possibility (without in any way deciding) that L.Sm. would fail to qualify as homebound within the meaning of this narrow definition because (again for argument's sake only) we accept the possibility that he was often able to leave home in his wheelchair without "considerable and taxing effort."
The trouble is that CMS's current regulations defining who qualifies as homebound look little like the regulations in effect when Caring Hearts provided care to L.Sm. in 2008. Back then, CMS's regulations indicated that, "[g]enerally speaking, a patient will be considered homebound if they [sic] have a condition due to an illness or injury that restricts their ability to leave the place of residence except with the aid of: supportive devices such as crutches, canes, wheelchairs, and walkers...." MBPM, Ch. 7, § 30.1.1 (Rev. 1, Oct. 1, 2003). So rather than asking whether a patient could leave home with a supportive device, the regulations back then seemed to ask whether a patient
Of course, CMS's regulations don't exist in a vacuum. There's also the statute they purport to interpret. And CMS suggests that, whatever its relevant regulations said at the time, the statute's plain terms also and independently alerted Caring Hearts to the impropriety of its care for patients like L.Sm. The relevant statutory language provides that
42 U.S.C. § 1395f(a).
But even looking to this language we don't see how CMS could have rationally concluded that Caring Hearts knew or should have known individuals like L.Sm. didn't qualify as homebound in 2008. To be sure, CMS points us to the second sentence and argues that, to establish a patient is homebound, a provider must prove both (1) that a patient "normal[ly]" cannot leave home even with a supportive device and (2) that "leaving home requires a considerable and taxing effort." Just as its current regulations require. The trouble is, without the added gloss of CMS's current regulations, this reading of the statute is far from obvious or obviously correct. Indeed, there exists another entirely plausible reading of the statute, one that seems entirely consistent with CMS's own earlier regulations on the subject and one that Caring Hearts says (without dispute) it held when those regulations controlled and it issued its services. Under this reading it is the first sentence that does the real work — providing that someone like L.Sm. "shall be considered" homebound because he has a condition that restricts his ability to leave home "except with" (but for) a wheelchair or some other form of assistance. Under this reading, the second sentence adds only hortatory guidance about the sorts of people who will generally qualify as homebound under the first sentence, but it doesn't narrow the universe of people encompassed by the first sentence.
More than a few clues seem to support the reasonableness of Caring Hearts's reading. Not least of course the fact that CMS itself seemed to take this very view at the time. But even beyond that, there's a good deal of textual evidence in the statute itself. Consider the
The statutory sentences that follow these first two seem to provide yet further support for Caring Hearts's (and CMS's erstwhile) understanding of the law. They indicate that
42 U.S.C. § 1395f(a). Notice that each of these sentences uses the more mandatory "shall" instead of the more hortatory "should," suggesting that Congress well knew the difference when it chose in the second sentence alone to use the less emphatic verb. And notice how each of these sentences seems to undercut, too, the notion that a patient must "normally" be unable to leave the home even with the use of a supportive device. After all, the third and fifth sentences permit patients to leave every day for unlimited durations for certain purposes (health care and religious services). And the fourth permits an unlimited number of departures from the home for any purpose so long as the absences are of "relatively short duration."
In saying as much as we do about the statute's terms we take care to stress what we haven't said. We are not asked to pass upon the question whether the statute unambiguously favors Caring Hearts and in that way forecloses CMS's recent regulations in a Chevron step one proceeding. Neither are we asked to decide whether, if statutorily ambiguous, CMS's recent regulations would qualify as reasonable interpretations of the statute in a Chevron step two proceeding. It may well be that our reasoning here would be relevant in deciding those questions, but the question we face today is more pedestrian and so is our holding. Here we're only asked to pass on CMS's conclusion that Caring Hearts knew or reasonably should've known its services were wrongly rendered in light of the statute's plain terms. And given the many textual clues supporting Caring
In briefing before us CMS adds at this point one more point. The agency notes that in litigation long ago it advocated an interpretation of the homebound statute very similar to the one its regulations now adopt. See Labossiere v. Sec'y of HHS, No. 90-150, 1991 WL 531922, at *4-5 (D. Vt. July 24, 1991). But the CMS's order under review didn't cite Labossiere or suggest it placed Caring Hearts on notice of the impropriety of its understanding of the statute. And of course in administrative law the post-hoc rationalizations of counsel may not provide grounds for sustaining an agency decision, only those grounds cited in the agency's order may. See SEC v. Chenery Corp., 318 U.S. 80, 94-95, 63 S.Ct. 454, 87 L.Ed. 626 (1943). Besides, there may be a good reason why CMS made no mention of the case in its order: under its own regulations its prior litigation positions are generally insufficient to put a provider on notice of what is and isn't compensable. See 42 C.F.R. § 411.406. Neither, for that matter, does it appear CMS's position in litigation always followed a straight course: as late as 2009 the agency seems to have endorsed an approach (in at least one case) closer to the one advocated by Caring Hearts and found in the agency's prior regulations than the one the agency's regulations now pursue. See Quality Home Health Servs., Inc., Medicare Appeals Council (Sept. 14, 2009).
That still leaves the second group of cases the agency addressed. Here CMS accepted or assumed that the patients Caring Hearts served were homebound but held that the firm couldn't show the physical therapy or skilled nursing services it provided were "reasonable and necessary." An illustrative patient here might be L.D. She was a 71-year-old woman with diabetes, degenerative joint disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and uncontrolled pain in her lower back, hips, and right leg. She experienced fatigue and weakness after walking 15 feet. By everyone's admission, doctors prescribed physical therapy to increase her strength and decrease her pain. And the record shows, too, that, thanks to the physical therapy, L.D. increased her ability to walk by 50 percent and experienced a decrease in her reported back pain from a 6 out of 10 to a 3 or 4 out of 10. Even so, CMS held, Caring Hearts couldn't show that its physical therapy services were reasonable and necessary because its documentation was insufficient. The company's "notes" didn't contain details of progress made by L.D. "at each visit" and didn't contain enough "quantitative" data. See CMS Op. at 26 (App. Vol. 2 at 249).
To support its conclusion that Caring Hearts knew or should've known its documentation was insufficient, CMS doesn't cite or rest on the relevant statutory language as it did earlier on the homebound question. And it's understandable why. The relevant statute states simply that charges must be "reasonable and necessary," without offering providers any guidance as to what might and might not qualify, let alone indicating what sort of documentation might be demanded. See 42 U.S.C. § 1395y(a)(1)(A). Instead, to support its decision denying Caring Hearts relief when it comes to this class of cases, the agency relies only on regulations it issued under the statute's auspices as evidence the company should've known its paperwork wasn't enough. In particular, when it comes to physical therapy services the agency repeatedly cites and relies on 42 C.F.R. § 409.44(c)(2)(ii)(H)(4), though as its opinion progresses it seems
But here again the agency appears unfamiliar with its own regulations. Back in 2008 there wasn't any § 409.44(c)(2)(ii)(H)(4). In fact, there never was and still isn't. As best we can tell, the agency's opinion means to rely on and direct us to 42 C.F.R. § 409.44(c)(2)(i)(H)(4). But that provision was adopted in November 2010, well after the events in question, and thanks to still more regulatory activity it appears today not as (H)(4) but (F)(4). See 42 C.F.R. § 409.44 (2015). At any rate, as adopted in November 2010 the regulation surely did require physical therapy providers to supply "[d]ocumentation of objective evidence or clinically supportable statements of expectation that the patient can continue to progress toward the treatment goals and is responding to therapy...." Just the sort of thing the agency argues Caring Hearts failed to supply. But here once more even the agency doesn't suggest this regulation bore retroactive effect. 75 Fed. Reg. 70372, 70461-63 (Nov. 17, 2010). And back in 2008, when Caring Hearts provided its services, § 409.44(c)(2)(i) entailed no subdivisions, let alone spun out 22 separate enumerated subparagraphs all the way to (H)(4) and beyond. Instead, back then § 409.44(c)(2)(i) consisted of just one paragraph that spoke not at all of documentation and said only this: "services must be considered under the accepted standards of medical practice to be a specific, safe, and effective treatment for the beneficiary's condition." Rather than requiring extensive paperwork, then, the regulation focused on whether the provider's physical therapy services were consistent with accepted contemporary standards of medical practice. And that's a condition no one disputes Caring Hearts can satisfy: nowhere does CMS's opinion suggest the doctors who prescribed the care in this case defied accepted medical standards.
Now we imagine CMS might reply along these lines. As we've seen, while the agency cites repeatedly to § 409.44(c)(ii) — really (i) — (H)(4), as its opinion progresses it refers instead to § 409.44(c) alone. And perhaps you might wonder whether this change in citation should be taken as directing us to some other subsection besides (H)(4), one that may have actually existed in 2008. But try as we might we cannot see how that might be the case. Each time CMS cites § 409.44(c) it does so (only) in the context of complaining about Caring Hearts's documentation, the very subject of (H)(4). In this light, it really does seem CMS's citations get shorter out of convenience rather than to convey a difference of meaning. Certainly, too, if CMS citations do mean to refer to some other part of § 409.44(c) that existed in 2008, we're left guessing what part that might be and we may not, of course, affirm an agency by guess. See Chenery, 318 U.S. at 94-95, 63 S.Ct. 454. Neither does even CMS's brief in this court offer any such possibility. Much to the contrary and like the agency's order itself, the agency's briefing on appeal struggles to keep up with the right regulations, repeatedly citing and quoting and relying on the 2010 provisions and (H)(4) just as its order did. See Br. of Appellee at 37-38, 44, 49. In fact, CMS's brief even goes so far as to quote the 2010 language of (H)(4) with a mistaken parenthetical date reading "(2008)." See id. at 38.
The same story repeats itself when it comes to the skilled nursing services Caring Hearts supplied. Once more, the agency based its denial of coverage for most patients for want of sufficient documentation,
At this point just one last wrinkle remains to unfold. In closing, CMS suggests that § 1395pp allows it to relieve a provider of liability only when the dispute concerns whether the provider's services were "reasonable and necessary" or when "custodial care" is at issue. See Br. of Appellee at 58 (citing 42 U.S.C. § 1395pp(a)(1) and id. §§ 1395y(a)(1)(A), (9)). According to CMS, § 1395pp "clearly do[es] not" allow it to forgive a provider's putative errors in determining whether a patient qualifies as homebound. Id.; see also id. at 13. So for at least those cases where the homebound question is at issue, CMS says, it simply cannot provide relief.
But here too it seems CMS is unfamiliar with its own law. For while § 1395pp begins by affording the agency a power to forgive mistakes relating to § 1395y(a)(1) ("reasonable and necessary") and § 1395y(a)(9) ("custodial care"), the statute proceeds to afford the agency a parallel power for mistakes concerning matters "described in subsection (g) of this section." 42 U.S.C. § 1395pp(a)(1). And that subsection expressly includes errors relating to whether "the individual ... is or was not confined to his home." Id. § 1395pp(g)(1)(A) (citing id. §§ 1395f(a)(2)(C) and 1395n(a)(2)(A)). Now maybe the agency's confusion stems from the fact that the statute at one time didn't allow CMS to address errors involving homebound status. But that was thirty years ago and it does seem curious that the agency in this case proves so sensitive to its past law when it doesn't matter but not when it does. See Pub. L. No. 99-509, 100 Stat. 1991, 1991-92 (1986) (extending waiver of liability provisions to homebound denials).
This case has taken us to a strange world where the government itself — the very "expert" agency responsible for promulgating the "law" no less — seems unable to keep pace with its own frenetic lawmaking. A world Madison worried about long ago, a world in which the laws are "so voluminous they cannot be read" and constitutional norms of due process, fair notice, and even the separation of powers seem very much at stake. But whatever