GOULD, Circuit Judge:
Plaintiff-Appellant Randolph Wolfson, an Arizona state judicial candidate in 2006 and 2008, challenges several provisions of the Arizona Code of Judicial Conduct regulating judicial campaigns. Specifically, Wolfson challenges: (1) the Personal Solicitation Clause, Rule 4.1(A)(6)
On May 21, 2008, Wolfson filed a complaint against the Commissioners of the Arizona Commission on Judicial Conduct and Chief Bar Counsel Robert B. Van Wyck (collectively "the Commission") in the United States District Court for the District of Arizona, alleging that the campaign regulations violated his First Amendment rights of freedom of speech and freedom of association.
The district court disagreed and granted the Commission's motion for summary judgment.
Wolfson timely appealed. After an original panel hearing, Wolfson v. Concannon, 750 F.3d 1145 (9th Cir.2014), the case was ordered to be reheard en banc, Wolfson v. Concannon, 768 F.3d 999 (9th Cir.2014). Following this decision but before we reheard the case, the Supreme Court decided Williams-Yulee v. Florida Bar, ___ U.S. ___, 135 S.Ct. 1656, 191 L.Ed.2d 570 (2015).
The First Amendment, applicable to the States through the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, says that "Congress shall make no law . . . abridging the freedom of speech." U.S. Const. amend. I; McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Comm'n, 514 U.S. 334, 336 n. 1, 115 S.Ct. 1511, 131 L.Ed.2d 426 (1995). Wolfson's appeal requests that we address: (1) the district court's application of intermediate scrutiny to assess Arizona's restrictions on judicial candidate speech; and (2) the impact of Williams-Yulee v. Florida Bar, ___ U.S. ___, 135 S.Ct. 1656, 191 L.Ed.2d 570 (2015), on Arizona's Personal Solicitation Clause, Endorsement Clauses, and Campaign Prohibition.
We first address whether the district court was correct in adopting the Seventh Circuit's intermediate level of scrutiny to assess Arizona's judicial speech restrictions. We hold that, in light of Williams-Yulee, it was not.
The Supreme Court has repeatedly held that "[t]he First Amendment has its fullest and most urgent application to speech uttered during a campaign for political office." Citizens United v. Fed. Election Comm'n, 558 U.S. 310, 339-40, 130 S.Ct. 876, 175 L.Ed.2d 753 (2010) (quoting Eu v. S.F. Cty. Democratic Cent. Comm., 489 U.S. 214, 223, 109 S.Ct. 1013, 103 L.Ed.2d 271 (1989)) (internal quotation marks omitted). This "requires us to err on the side of protecting political speech rather than suppressing it." Fed. Election Comm'n v. Wis. Right to Life, Inc., 551 U.S. 449, 457, 127 S.Ct. 2652, 168 L.Ed.2d 329 (2007).
In Williams-Yulee, a plurality of the Supreme Court applied similar reasoning when addressing the level of scrutiny appropriate for assessing Florida's Code of Judicial Conduct Canon 7C(1), a prohibition on personal solicitation during judicial campaigns. See 135 S.Ct. at 1664-65 ("As we have long recognized, speech about public issues and the qualifications of candidates for elected office commands the highest level of First Amendment protection."). Picking up where the Court left off in Republican Party of Minn. v. White, 536 U.S. 765, 774-75, 122 S.Ct. 2528, 153 L.Ed.2d 694 (2002) (White I) (assuming without deciding that strict scrutiny was appropriate for restrictions on judicial candidates' ability to announce their views on various legal issues), the Williams-Yulee plurality held that strict scrutiny was warranted. Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1665. "A State may restrict the speech of a judicial candidate only if the restriction is narrowly tailored to serve a compelling interest." Id.
We agree with the plurality and hold that strict scrutiny is appropriate here. Even before Williams-Yulee, other courts had come to similar conclusions. See Carey v. Wolnitzek, 614 F.3d 189, 199-200 (6th Cir.2010); Republican Party of Minn. v. White, 416 F.3d 738, 748-49 (8th Cir.2005) (en banc) (White II); Weaver v. Bonner, 309 F.3d 1312, 1315, 1322-23 (11th Cir. 2002). Additionally, our holding is not limited to Arizona's Personal Solicitation Clause, which has no meaningful difference from Florida's Canon 7C(1).
Federal, state, and local governments have struggled to meet strict scrutiny when defending speech restrictions. See, e.g., Reed v. Town of Gilbert, ___ U.S. ___, 135 S.Ct. 2218, 2231-32, 192 L.Ed.2d 236 (2015); United States v. Playboy Entm't Grp., Inc., 529 U.S. 803, 813-14, 816, 120 S.Ct. 1878, 146 L.Ed.2d 865 (2000); OSU Student All. v. Ray, 699 F.3d 1053, 1062-64 (9th Cir.2012); United States v. Alvarez, 617 F.3d 1198, 1215-18 (9th Cir.2010). To overcome such a high standard of review, the government is required to prove that "the restriction `furthers a compelling interest and is narrowly tailored to achieve that interest.'" Citizens United, 558 U.S. at 340, 130 S.Ct. 876 (quoting Wis. Right to Life, 551 U.S. at 464, 127 S.Ct. 2652). Following Williams-Yulee,
Wolfson contends that Arizona's Personal Solicitation Clause, which prohibits him, while running for judicial office, from personally soliciting funds for his own campaign, fails strict scrutiny. He argues that Arizona's interest is not narrowly tailored, and that Williams-Yulee does not control our decision because Florida and Arizona have different interests in upholding their respective personal solicitation prohibitions.
Wolfson does not contend that Arizona lacks a compelling interest behind this solicitation prohibition. Instead, he argues that Arizona's interest is significantly different than Florida's interest in Canon 7C(1), making the Court's strict scrutiny analysis in Williams-Yulee inapplicable to Arizona's Clause. Attempting to distinguish the two states' interests, Wolfson first points to Florida's Code of Judicial Conduct Canon 1 and its commentary: "Deference to the judgments and rulings of courts depends upon public confidence in the integrity and independence of judges. The integrity and independence of judges depend in turn upon their acting without fear or favor." Code of Judicial Conduct for the State of Florida 6 (2014), http://www.floridasupremecourt.org/ decisions/ethics/Code_Judicial_Conduct.pdf. He compares this language to that of Arizona's Code of Judicial Conduct Rule 1.2 and Comment 5, which he contends demonstrate that Arizona's interest is protecting the public's perception of "the judge's honesty, impartiality, temperament, or fitness." Ariz.Code of Judicial Conduct Rule 1.2 (2014), cmt. n.5, http://www.azcourts.gov/ portals/137/rules/Arizona% 20Code% 20of% 20Judicial% 20Conduct.pdf. An interest in judicial
This is a distinction without a material difference. Even if we consider the language to which Wolfson points, the Supreme Court did not uphold Florida's prohibition because of an interest in curbing "fear or favors." Instead, the Court was broad in its language and reasoning. "We have recognized the `vital state interest' in safeguarding `public confidence in the fairness and integrity of the nation's elected judges,'" Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1666 (quoting Caperton v. A.T. Massey Coal Co., 556 U.S. 868, 889, 129 S.Ct. 2252, 173 L.Ed.2d 1208 (2009)), because the "judiciary's authority . . . depends in large measure on the public's willingness to respect and follow its decisions." Id. Arizona's interest, outlined in Rule 1.2 and its comments, is similar, if not identical.
Moreover, the Supreme Court recognized that the "concept of public confidence in judicial integrity does not easily reduce to precise definition." Id. at 1667. Even if Arizona adopted slightly different language for its articulation of its interest,
Arizona's interest behind its Personal Solicitation Clause is compelling.
Wolfson's arguments that Arizona's Personal Solicitation Clause is not narrowly tailored are precluded by Williams-Yulee. First, Wolfson contends that the Personal Solicitation Clause is overbroad because it covers solicitation methods, such as mass mailings and speeches to large groups, that would not result in a quid pro quo. However, the Supreme Court rejected the argument that the state may prohibit only solicitation methods that are the most likely to erode public confidence. Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1671. The Court held that the argument "misperceives the breadth of the compelling interest" and that, though that "interest may be implicated to varying degrees in particular contexts,. . . the interest remains whenever the public perceives the judge personally asking for money." Id.
Second, Wolfson argues that the Personal Solicitation Clause is not the least restrictive means to effectuate Arizona's interest because Arizona could have adopted contribution limitations or a mandatory recusal rule. Again, the Supreme Court did not consider this argument persuasive. Id. at 1671-72. Forced recusals would disable jurisdictions with a small number of judges, erode public confidence in the judiciary, and create an incentive for litigants to make contributions for the sole purpose of forcing the judge to later recuse himself or herself from the litigant's cases. Id. Contribution limits would be similarly ineffective. The improper appearance of a judicial candidate soliciting money would still remain and, even though the Court had previously held that contribution limitations advance the interest against quid pro quo corruption, a state is not restricted to pursuing its interest by a single means. Id. at 1672.
Wolfson also argues that Arizona's Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are not narrowly tailored to Arizona's compelling interest in public confidence in the judiciary's integrity.
Wolfson contends that Arizona's Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are underinclusive because they allow judicial candidates to receive endorsements, allow judicial candidates to endorse public officials and non-candidates, and allow other candidates to participate in judicial campaigns. "[U]nderinclusiveness can raise `doubts about whether the government is in fact pursuing the interest it invokes, rather than disfavoring a particular speaker or viewpoint,'" Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1668 (quoting Brown v. Entm't Merchs. Ass'n, ___ U.S. ___, 131 S.Ct. 2729, 2740, 180 L.Ed.2d 708 (2011)), and can "reveal that a law does not actually advance a compelling interest." Id. However, "[a] State need not address all aspects of a problem in one fell swoop" and can "focus on . . . [the] most pressing concerns." Id.
Once again, Williams-Yulee controls our reasoning. In assessing whether Florida's solicitation clause was underinclusive, the Court looked at whether Canon 7C(1) was "aim[ed] squarely at the conduct most likely to undermine public confidence in the integrity of the judiciary," "applie[d] evenhandedly to all judges and judicial candidates, regardless of their viewpoint," and was "not riddled with exceptions." Id. at 1668-69. We do not believe that the analysis should be any different when assessing a prohibition of endorsements or participation in political campaigns. Williams-Yulee may have been about a prohibition on direct candidate solicitations of campaign contributions, but the Supreme Court's reasoning was broad enough to encompass underinclusivity arguments aimed at other types of judicial candidate speech prohibitions such as Arizona's Endorsement Clauses and its Campaign Prohibition.
And both the Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition fit easily under the Williams-Yulee underinclusivity analysis. First, Arizona squarely aimed at preventing conduct that could erode the judiciary's
We need not question whether Arizona could have, as Wolfson argues, prohibited more types of endorsements or campaign participation. "[P]olicymakers may focus on their most pressing concerns" and the fact that the state could "conceivably could have restricted even greater amounts of speech in service of their stated interests" is not a death blow under strict scrutiny. Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1668. Arizona's Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are not underinclusive.
Wolfson next contends that the Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are unconstitutionally overbroad because the Campaign Prohibition bans involvement with ballot measures, and the Endorsement Clauses forbid judges from endorsing anyone, even candidates like the President of the United States who are highly unlikely to appear before the judge.
Again, Williams-Yulee forecloses Wolfson's arguments. There, the petitioner contended that even though Florida could constitutionally prevent judges from soliciting one-on-one or in person with lawyers and litigants, Canon 7C(1) was overbroad because it included a prohibition of solicitation through mass mailings. Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1670-71. The petitioner argued that the latter would have less impact on the public confidence of the judiciary. Id. at 1671. But the Supreme Court was not convinced, reasoning that such distinctions became so fine as to be unworkable, and in large part, Florida's
Wolfson asks us to draw a similarly unworkable and unnecessary line. Although supporting a United States presidential candidate may have less of an effect on the public confidence than endorsing or campaigning for an Arizona State senator or a local prosecutor, creating a rigid line is as unworkable as it is unhelpful. Judges engaging in political acts may present different levels of impropriety in different situations. It is not our proper role to second-guess Arizona's decisions in this regard. Much as the state drew a line between personal solicitation by candidates and by committees in order to preserve public confidence in the judiciary's integrity, Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1671, so too can the state decide that judicial candidates should not engage in legislative or executive campaigns. "These considered judgments deserve our respect, especially because they reflect sensitive choices by States in an area central to their own governance—how to select those who `sit as their judges.'" Id. (quoting Gregory v. Ashcroft, 501 U.S. 452, 460, 111 S.Ct. 2395, 115 L.Ed.2d 410 (1991)).
Our conclusion is consistent with White I. Arizona's prohibitions do not prevent judicial candidates from announcing their views on disputed legal and political subjects. See White I, 536 U.S. at 788, 122 S.Ct. 2528. Instead, Arizona simply makes the distinction that a judicial candidate may do so only in relation to his or her own campaign. This follows the reasoning in White I, where the Supreme Court was concerned about restrictions on the ability to express legal views while campaigning, see id. at 770-74, 122 S.Ct. 2528, not on the ability to advance the political views and aspirations of another candidate. The latter is not the kind of speech the Court in White I sought to protect. See Wersal v. Sexton, 674 F.3d 1010, 1026 (8th Cir.2012) ("[T]he endorsement clause does not regulate speech with regard to any underlying issues, and thus the candidates are free to state their positions on these issues, in line with White I."); Siefert, 608 F.3d at 984 ("While an interest in the impartiality and perceived impartiality of the judiciary does not justify forbidding judges from identifying as members of political parties, a public endorsement is not the same type of campaign speech [as that] targeted by the impermissible rule against talking about legal issues the Supreme Court struck down in White I."); Bauer, 620 F.3d at 711-12 (holding that the reasoning employed in Siefert to uphold a prohibition against judicial candidate endorsements is equally applicable to a prohibition on partisan activities).
The compelling interest in preserving public confidence in the integrity of judiciary warrants a favorable view of Arizona's attempt to foreclose judicial candidates from engaging in political campaigns other than their own. The Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are not fatally overbroad.
Finally, Wolfson contends that Arizona's Endorsement Clauses and Campaign
But recusal is no answer at all, and this unworkable alternative was flatly dismissed in Williams-Yulee. A rule requiring judges to recuse themselves from every case where they endorsed or campaigned for one of the parties could "disable many jurisdictions" and cripple the judiciary. See Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1671. Four of Arizona's counties have only one superior court judge and two other counties have only two superior court judges. Arizona Judicial Branch, Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Report 4, http:// www.azcourts.gov/Portals/38/2014% 20Annual% 20Report.pdf. Campaigning for frequent litigants would cause an insurmountable burden that other judges and other counties may not be able to bear. Moreover, an extensive recusal record could cause the same erosion of public confidence in the judiciary that Arizona's Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are trying to prevent.
We hold that the Endorsement Clauses and Campaign Prohibition are narrowly tailored to achieve Arizona's compelling interest.
Even though the district court erred when it bypassed used by the Seventh Circuit, it arrived at the correct result. The Personal Solicitation Clause, Endorsement Clauses, and Campaign Prohibition all withstand First Amendment analysis under strict scrutiny. Arizona has a compelling interest in upholding public confidence in the judiciary. And in light of Williams-Yulee, we hold that Arizona's Rules are narrowly tailored to its compelling interest. The judgment of the district court is therefore
BERZON, Circuit Judge, concurring:
Given Williams-Yulee v. Florida Bar, ___ U.S. ___, 135 S.Ct. 1656, 191 L.Ed.2d 570 (2015), I am in general agreement with Judge Gould's opinion for the en banc court ("main opinion"). There are two points, however, as to which the main opinion is terse, at best, and which therefore, in my view, deserve further exploration.
First, I concurred in the panel opinion to highlight my concern about articulating the governmental interests at stake in regulating judicial elections, and write separately here, too, to reiterate the same concern. Wolfson v. Concannon, 750 F.3d 1145, 1160 (9th Cir.2014) (Berzon, J., concurring). The main opinion supports all three of Arizona's challenged restrictions on judicial candidates' behavior during judicial election campaigns on the basis of the same governmental interest—judicial impartiality. See, e.g., Maj. Op. at 1183-84. But three different species of speech regulation of judicial candidates are here at issue, not one. And while one of the regulations—the ban on personal solicitation—is closely related to the restriction considered in Williams-Yulee, two—the bans on endorsements and campaigning for nonjudicial candidates and causes—are quite different. As to the latter two bans, I am not at all sure that the governmental interest in preventing biased judicial decisionmaking
Additionally, the main opinion does not distinguish between sitting judges who run for judicial office and judicial candidates who are not yet, and may never be, judges. This distinction turns out not to be dispositive of this case, but it is worth explaining why that is so.
1. As the main opinion and the Supreme Court recognize, "[t]he concept of public confidence in judicial integrity does not easily reduce to precise definition." Williams-Yulee v. Florida Bar, ___ U.S. ___, 135 S.Ct. 1656, 1667, 191 L.Ed.2d 570 (2015). In my view, this case requires us to disentangle two distinct facets of this compelling interest.
First, society has an interest in judicial impartiality that is "both weighty and narrow." Wolfson, 750 F.3d at 1163 (Berzon, J., concurring). This fundamental interest is enshrined in the Due Process Clause's prohibition on a judge trying a case in which she "has an interest in the out-come." Caperton v. A.T. Massey Coal Co., Inc., 556 U.S. 868, 880, 129 S.Ct. 2252, 173 L.Ed.2d 1208 (2009).
It is this impartiality concern that underlay the solicitation restriction in Williams-Yulee and also undergirds Arizona's ban on judges' personal solicitation of funds. "[M]ost donors are lawyers and litigants who may appear before the judge they are supporting," Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1667, and "personal solicitation by a judicial candidate `inevitably places the solicited individuals in a position to fear retaliation if they fail to financially support that candidate,'" id. at 1668 (quoting Simes v. Ark. Judicial Discipline and Disability Com'n, 368 Ark. 577, 585, 247 S.W.3d 876 (2007)). This impartiality interest is important; its reach is also fairly limited. Impartiality's "root meaning" refers to the lack of "bias for or against either party to the proceeding." Republican Party of Minn. v. White, 536 U.S. 765, 775, 122 S.Ct. 2528, 153 L.Ed.2d 694 (2002) (emphasis in original). Restrictions that can be justified by society's interest in impartiality are those that aim at protecting the due process rights of litigants appearing before a judge in court.
There is, however, a separate, broader governmental basis for regulating judicial behavior that goes beyond a concern with biased decisionmaking in individual cases. That interest is society's concern with maintaining both the appearance and the reality of a structurally independent judiciary, engaged in a decisionmaking process informed by legal, not political or broad, nonlegal policy considerations. As I explained in my concurrence to the panel opinion,
This nation's political history demonstrates the disastrous effects of the perceived politicization of the courts. Charges that King George "ha[d] obstructed the Administration of Justice" and "ha[d] made judges dependent on his Will alone. . . ." were among the founding generation's justifications for the 1776 revolution. The Declaration of Independence para. 11 (U.S.1776). Similar concerns apply outside the context of a monarchy: Where the judiciary is drawn into the political intrigues of its coordinate branches, the public might well "fear that the pestilential breath of faction may poison the fountains of justice. The habit of being continually marshaled on opposite sides will be too apt to stifle the voice both of law and of equity." The Federalist No. 81, at 452 (Alexander Hamilton) (Clinton Rossiter ed., 1961). And where the politicization of the judiciary brings it into alliance with the politicians who staff the other two branches of government, the public may no longer consider "the courts of justice . . . as the bulwark of a limited Constitution against legislative encroachments," The Federalist No. 78, at 437, or executive excesses. In short, when sitting judges support the campaigns of nonjudicial candidates—via endorsements, speeches, money, or other means—the public may begin to see them not as neutral arbiters of a limited system of governance, but as participants in the larger game of politics.
Wolfson, 750 F.3d at 1164-65 (Berzon, J. concurring) (footnotes omitted).
In short, a deep-seated interest in the structural independence of the judiciary has been recognized as indispensable to our constitutional order since the founding era. See id. at 1164. An independent judge "must above all things put aside his estimate of political and legislative values" when interpreting the law. Benjamin Cardozo, The Nature of the Judicial Process, 90 (1921) (internal quotation mark omitted) (quoting Lorenz Brütt, Die Kunst der Rechtsanwendung, 57 (1907)).
When judges swap endorsements with legislative or executive candidates, or make speeches during nonjudicial political campaigns, their political and legislative values are brought to the fore, threatening the public's perception of their independence. To quote again from my panel concurrence:
Wolfson, 750 F.3d at 1165 (Berzon, J., concurring).
I read neither Williams-Yulee nor the main opinion to say anything to the contrary. Both impartiality and independence are implicit, for instance, in the majority's reference to "the judiciary's ability to abide by the law and not make decisions along political lines." Maj. Op. at 1184. But because First Amendment doctrine focuses on the breadth and nature of the interests at stake, it is important to be clear that the interests raised by this case are not limited to the due process concerns signaled by the term judicial impartiality.
This dual focus is particularly critical where, as in this case, the two interests affect aspects of the regulations at issue differently. The main opinion takes Williams-Yulee's reasoning regarding the personal solicitation of funds and applies it to uphold a ban on judicial candidates endorsing or campaigning for nonjudicial political candidates and organizations. But the concerns raised by these distinct activities only partially overlap. An in-person solicitation creates a unique risk of a quid pro quo arrangement, or at least the appearance of one, between a judicial candidate and a donor. See Wersal v. Sexton, 674 F.3d 1010, 1029 (8th Cir.2012) (en banc). The risk of such an arrangement is more attenuated, though, when it comes to endorsements and campaigning for nonjudicial candidates and issues. Candidates can, of course, exchange endorsements in a mutually beneficial arrangement. But there may be many scenarios where "[a] judicial candidate's endorsement of an executive or legislative candidate . . . benefits the endorsee more than the endorser." Id. at 1049 (Beam, J., dissenting). The same can be true when a judicial candidate lends their time or credibility to a nonjudicial issue campaign.
Reframing the governmental interest underlying restrictions on judicial candidates' role in campaigns or political organizations other than their own also brings better into focus the requisite "less-restrictive means" analysis. Personal recusal is an ineffective alternative to the solicitation bar because, as Williams-Yulee and the majority point out, it would be problematic to have many recusals in smaller jurisdictions, and individuals would have a "perverse incentive" to donate to judges in the hopes of forcing the judge to recuse if elected. Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1671-72; Maj. Op. at 1182. In contrast, recusals might be a better alternative to the endorsement and campaign bars, if the only concern were avoiding conflicts of interest. The number of nonjudicial endorsements or campaign speeches a candidate makes is likely to be far lower than the number of individuals donating to his or her campaign. And the concern of hostile donations as "a form of peremptory strike against a judge," Williams-Yulee,
It is not clear to me, then, that the compelling interest of judicial impartiality, or the reasons for concluding that the restrictions are sufficiently narrowly focused, translate well from the solicitation realm to the practice of campaigning for or endorsing other candidates or issues. But these restrictions surely do advance the vital interest in structural judicial independence. The campaign and endorsement restrictions respond to a structural need—they restrict judges from engaging in non-judicial campaigns, to prevent them from being entangled in the legislative and executive political process. Judges must have the confidence to stand firm against nonjudicial elected officials. That confidence could give way—or appear to give way—if judges behave just like those elected officials, by engaging in the usual, often contentious and fiercely partisan, political processes.
2. I also write to note another distinction that both the main opinion and Williams-Yulee elide. Both opinions lump together sitting judges running for re-election and nonjudge candidates aspiring to the office. See, e.g., Williams-Yulee, 135 S.Ct. at 1668; Maj. Op. at 1183. The main opinion does so not only with respect to the restriction directly pertinent to the judicial election, the solicitation restriction, but with respect to the two other restrictions as well.
It is worth considering whether that uniform treatment is justified. On reflection, it seems to me that competing considerations pull in various directions with regard to the application to sitting judges and judicial candidates of the nonjudicial endorsement and campaigning restrictions. In the end, I agree with the main opinion's conclusion that all three regulations at issue are valid with respect to both groups.
First, sitting judges are already public employees. The Supreme Court has held in the Pickering line of cases that public employee speech may be subject to greater restrictions than the First Amendment would otherwise allow. See Pickering v. Bd. of Educ. of Twp. High Sch. Dist. 205, Will Cnty., Ill., 391 U.S. 563, 568, 88 S.Ct. 1731, 20 L.Ed.2d 811 (1968). The Seventh Circuit, for instance, has applied Pickering to adopt a balancing test when evaluating restrictions on sitting judges' speech. See Bauer v. Shepard, 620 F.3d 704 (7th Cir. 2010); Siefert v. Alexander, 608 F.3d 974 (7th Cir.2010). But Pickering does not appear to apply to the speech of candidates for judicial office who are not yet public employees.
Second, the structural judicial independence interest that to me is central to upholding two of the three judicial campaign restrictions here applicable comes into full force only when the individual elected actually ascends the bench. Before that, the concern is somewhat contingent—the candidate may become a judge. Still, that contingency may be sufficient reason for treating a judicial candidate who is not a sitting judge according to the rules of judicial ethics. The structural independence concerns are largely aspirational, and the public perception of the judicial role may be most at the forefront during judicial elections. So drawing the line on nonjudicial political participation at the point of declaration of judicial candidacy may help to forward both the reality and the appearance of a politically independent judiciary.
Moreover, if sitting judges were subject to greater restrictions on political activity than nonjudge candidates, two individuals may end up running for the same judicial office on somewhat uneven footing. The Supreme Court has "repeatedly rejected the argument that the government has a
In sum, I concur in the main opinion, in light of the further conclusions I reach in this concurrence.